Match Info

K League 2 - Round 32

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Busan Gudeok Stadium (Busan)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Busan I Park		Gyeongnam

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	5	Watch
	1.65	3.4	4.5
	1.62	3.8	4.65
	1.64	4.01	5.22
	1.67	2.92	7.69	Watch
	1.65	3.8	4.74	Watch
	1.68	3.65	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.62)	3.65 ↓ (4.03)	5.17 ↑ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Busan I Park
56.5%

Draw
25.5%

Gyeongnam
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

23.2%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

22.2%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busan I Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Gyeongnam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busan I Park than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gyeongnam than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	7.1%	0%

Busan I Park - Gyeongnam Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Busan I Park (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Busan I Park will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Busan I Park will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Busan I Park (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koo Sang-Min (G) 77. Jang Ho-Ik (C) 20. Cho Wi-Je 3. Oh Ban-Suk 23. Park Chang-Woo 6. Lee Dong-Su 7. Xavier 17. Jeon Seung-Jin 10. Fessin 9. Gonzalo Fornari 29. Choi Gi-Yun	91. Choe Pil-Soo (G) 17. Lee Jun-Jae 4. Han Yong-Soo 5. Kim Hyeong-Jin 2. Park Jae-Hwan 37. Kim Seon-Ho 10. Bruno Costa 40. Lee Chan-Dong (C) 29. Park Gi-Hyun 9. Leonardo Kalil 20. Macedo R.
Substitutes
4. Jeong Ho-Keun 37. Kim Dong-Wook 88. Kim Se-Hoon 21. Park Dae-Han (G) 47. Son Hwi 11. Villero P. 32. Yun Min-Ho	89. Darnlei 77. Ha-min K. 19. Jeong Chung-Geun 22. Kim Hyeong-Won 11. Park Min-Seo 88. Renan Areias 51. Ryu Won-Woo (G)
Coaches
Cho S.	Kim P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Park Jae-Hwan ⚽, Bruno Costa (A),
9', Leonardo Kalil 🟨,
13', 1 - 1, Fessin ⚽, Lee Dong-Su (A),
19', Park Jae-Hwan 🟨,
26', Macedo R. ↓, Park Min-Seo ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lee Jun-Jae ↓, Jeong Chung-Geun ↑,
60', Leonardo Kalil ↓, Darnlei ↑,
63', Gonzalo Fornari ↓, Yun Min-Ho ↑,
63', Choi Gi-Yun ↓, Villero P. ↑,
76', Lee Chan-Dong ↓, Renan Areias ↑,
76', Park Gi-Hyun ↓, Kim Hyeong-Won ↑,
80', Park Chang-Woo ↓, Kim Se-Hoon ↑,
88', Oh Ban-Suk ↓, Kim Dong-Wook ↑,
88', Xavier ↓, Son Hwi ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Busan I Park won 2.

Busan I Park is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gyeongnam's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Busan I Park may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Busan I Park is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Busan I Park won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Busan I Park won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Busan I Park
South Korean K-League 2
28.09.25	Hwaseong - Busan I Park	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Busan I Park - Jeonnam Dragons	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Ansan Greeners - Busan I Park	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Busan I Park - Suwon Bluewings	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Busan I Park - Cheongju	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTWWT
- Gyeongnam FC
South Korean K-League 2
28.09.25	Gyeongnam - Ansan Greeners	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Suwon Bluewings - Gyeongnam	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Gyeongnam - Gimpo	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Cheongju - Gyeongnam	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Gyeongnam - Bucheon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
02.08.25	Gyeongnam - Busan I Park	1:0
02.03.25	Busan I Park - Gyeongnam	0:1
22.09.24	Busan I Park - Gyeongnam	1:1
23.07.24	Busan I Park - Gyeongnam	2:1
09.03.24	Gyeongnam - Busan I Park	1:4
01.10.23	Gyeongnam - Busan I Park	0:1
21.05.23	Gyeongnam - Busan I Park	1:2

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