Match Info

K League 2 - Round 30

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Busan Gudeok Stadium (Busan) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
South Korea	14:00	Coupang Play
International	05:00	K League TV


	Busan I Park		Gyeongnam

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.3	3.7	Watch
	1.82	3.30	3.70
	1.88	3.35	3.75
	1.95	3.53	4.14
	1.91	3.5	3.93	Watch
	1.9	3.45	3.95
	1.85	3.32	3.79	Watch
	1.89	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 (1.88)	3.39 ↓ (3.58)	3.84 (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Busan I Park
48.9%

Draw
27.1%

Gyeongnam
24%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.6%

26.1%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

26.9%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busan I Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Gyeongnam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busan I Park than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gyeongnam than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Busan I Park - Gyeongnam Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koo Sang-Min (G) 55. Kwon Jun-seong 44. Choi Dong-ryeol 20. Kim Hee-Seung 11. Ahn Hyun-Beom (C) 97. Son J. 7. Xavier 17. Jeon Seung-Jin 10. Gabriel Honorio 4. Kim J. 66. Kim Se-Hoon	13. Lee Ki-Hyun (G) 23. Kwon Gi-Pyo 30. Jung Hyun-Wook 22. Kim Hyeong-Won 26. Choi Jung-Won (C) 24. Yun Il-Lok 66. Cho Sang-Jun 77. Kim Ha-min 44. Kim Jung-Hyeon 90. Kim Hyeon-oh 21. Cho Jin-Hyuk
Substitutes
2. Akhadov O. 18. Baek Ga-On 3. Cho Dong-Jae 21. Kim Dong-Wook 13. Kim Hyun-Min 8. Kim Min-Hyeok 42. Lee H. 88. Park Hye-seong 34. Park Ji-Min (G)	70. Felipe Fonseca 55. Jang Seung-woo 29. Karadzic A. 28. Kim Jun-Ho 31. Kim Tae-Hoon (G) 8. Lee Chan-Dong 20. Lee Gyu-Baeg 71. Lee Heon-Jae 6. Lim Eun-Su
Coaches
Cho S.	Bae Sung-jae .

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Gabriel Honorio ⚽, Ahn Hyun-Beom (A),
22', 2 - 0, Ahn Hyun-Beom ⚽,
26', Kim Jung-Hyeon 🟨,
34', Kim Hyeon-oh 🟨,
45+7', Cho Sang-Jun 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lee Ki-Hyun ↓, Kim Tae-Hoon ↑,
46', Ahn Hyun-Beom ↓, Kim Hyun-Min ↑,
48', Kim Hyun-Min 🟨,
50', 2 - 1, Cho Jin-Hyuk ⚽,
51', Xavier 🟨,
64', Cho Jin-Hyuk ↓, Felipe Fonseca ↑,
64', Cho Sang-Jun ↓, Lee Heon-Jae ↑,
77', Son J. ↓, Kim Min-Hyeok ↑,
77', Xavier ↓, Park Hye-seong ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Gabriel Honorio ⚽,
82', Gabriel Honorio ↓, Baek Ga-On ↑,
82', Kim Se-Hoon ↓, Kim Dong-Wook ↑,
83', Kim Jung-Hyeon ↓, Karadzic A. ↑,
89', Kim Hyeong-Won ↓, Lee Chan-Dong ↑,
89', Kim Ha-min ↓, Kim Jun-Ho ↑,
90', Kim J. ↓, Lee H. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 5th in the Promotion - K League 2 Playoffs and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Busan I Park won 1.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Gyeongnam could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Busan I Park carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Busan I Park has recorded 9 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:18 (averaging 1.2:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Busan I Park against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:8 goals (averaging 0.9:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Busan	29	14	6	9	47:37	10	48
9	Gyeongnam	28	8	11	9	32:34	-2	35

Last Results with these Odds

Busan I Park - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.63%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Busan I Park
South Korean K-League 2
18.10.26	Busan I Park - Jeonnam Dragons	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Paju Frontier - Busan I Park	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Gimpo - Busan I Park	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Busan I Park - Gimhae	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Busan I Park - Ansan Greeners	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTLWL
- Gyeongnam FC
South Korean K-League 2
17.10.26	Gyeongnam - Chungnam Asan	0:0 ✺
10.10.26	Cheonan City - Gyeongnam	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Yongin - Gyeongnam	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Gyeongnam - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Gyeongnam - Paju Frontier	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
04.04.26	Gyeongnam - Busan I Park	1:2
05.10.25	Busan I Park - Gyeongnam	1:1
02.08.25	Gyeongnam - Busan I Park	1:0
02.03.25	Busan I Park - Gyeongnam	0:1
22.09.24	Busan I Park - Gyeongnam	1:1
23.07.24	Busan I Park - Gyeongnam	2:1
09.03.24	Gyeongnam - Busan I Park	1:4

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