Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 - Round 16

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	11:00	SportsEngine Play


	Cherepovets		Iskra Smolensk

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.35	7.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.41)	4.35 ↑ (4.25)	7.04 ↑ (6.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cherepovets
66.2%

Draw
20.9%

Iskra Smolensk
12.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21.4%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

20.4%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Iskra Smolensk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iskra Smolensk than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Cherepovets - Iskra Smolensk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Kulkov K. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Vasiliev M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 2 - 1, Kulkov K. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Cherepovets is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Iskra has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Cherepovets is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cherepovets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Cherepovets	27	11	3	13	30:40	-10	36
14	Iskra Smolensk	27	6	7	14	26:52	-26	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cherepovets
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
05.07.26	Luki-Energiya - Cherepovets	3:0 ✺
28.06.26	Cherepovets - Zvezda St. Petersburg	0:2 ✺
21.06.26	Torpedo Vladimir - Cherepovets	1:0 ✺
14.06.26	Cherepovets - Irkutsk	1:2 ✺
07.06.26	Dynamo Vologda - Cherepovets	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT
- Iskra Smolensk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
04.07.26	Iskra Smolensk - Volga Tver	2:4 ✺
21.06.26	Murom - Iskra Smolensk	6:0 ✺
13.06.26	Iskra Smolensk - Luki-Energiya	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Iskra Smolensk	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Iskra Smolensk - Torpedo Vladimir	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
04.04.26	Iskra Smolensk - Cherepovets	1:2

Cherepovets - Iskra Smolensk