Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 27

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Chernihiv Arena (Chernihiv)


	Chernihiv		Chornomorets Odesa

	1	X	2
	3	2.85	2.3
	4.55	3.35	1.72
	4.12	3.2	1.75
	3.86	3.47	1.85	Watch
	3	2.8	2.25
	4.5	3.25	1.75
	5.2	3.27	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↓ (5.1)	3.17 ↓ (3.31)	1.89 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chernihiv
22.7%

Draw
28.8%

Chornomorets Odesa
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.3%

26.7%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

25.3%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chernihiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chernihiv's performance.

Chornomorets Odesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chornomorets Odesa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernihiv than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chernihiv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chornomorets Odesa than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chornomorets Odesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chernihiv - Chornomorets Odesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Tatarenko M. (C) 21. Bezborodko D. 13. Bezgubchenko D. 8. Bybik A. 2. Galstyan E. 12. Kartushov Y. 55. Romanchenko A. 77. Serdyuk M. 6. Shalfeev Y. 38. Shushko P. 23. Zenchenko O.	12. Aniagboso C. (G) 13. Faraseyenko V. 94. Gryshkevych D. 77. Herych V. 24. Jarju M. 7. Khoma A. 21. Klymenko V. 5. Kurko V. 11. Popov K. 6. Sklyar O. (C) 3. Yermakov V.
Substitutes
17. Chaban V. 24. Dmytrovych D. D. 20. Fateev D. 99. Gerasimenko D. (G) 10. Koydan V. 9. Kulyk D. 33. Porokhnya A. 22. Roshchynskyi O. (G) 95. Shapoval V. 88. Stolyarchuk A. 30. Teplyakov N. 25. Volskyi D.	17. Kogut I. 19. Kogut M. 35. Koval M. (G) 4. Kratov M. 10. Kulach V. 23. Lunyov M. 33. Pshenychnyuk O. 18. Robakidze G. 30. Romanyuk Y. 80. Ryce A. 20. Sergeevich N. 1. Yushchyshyn V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Romanchenko A. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Khoma A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 2 - 1, Bezborodko D. ⚽,
75', 2 - 2, Yermakov V. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, Chornomorets is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chernihiv won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	FC Chernihiv	9	1	4	4	10:14	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chernihiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
02.05.26	UCSA - Chernihiv	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Chernihiv - Vorskla Poltava	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
22.04.26	Kharkiv - Chernihiv	0:1 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
18.04.26	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Chernihiv	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Chernihiv - Nyva Ternopil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.8 WLWTW
- Chornomorets Odesa
Ukrainian Persha Liga
03.05.26	Chornomorets Odesa - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Viktoriya Sumy - Chornomorets Odesa	4:0 ✺
18.04.26	Chornomorets Odesa - Probiy Horodenka	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Chornomorets Odesa	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Chornomorets Odesa - Inhulets	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
19.10.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Chernihiv	1:0

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