Match Info

FNL - Round 21

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Urozhay (Karavaevo)

Referee: Novikov N. (Rus)


	Spartak Kostroma		Torpedo Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.44	3.1	3.24
	2.41	3.19	3.13	Watch
	2.25	2.83	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.36)	3.04 ↓ (3.1)	3.12 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Kostroma
39.4%

Draw
30.7%

Torpedo Moscow
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

30.7%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

31%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Kostroma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Torpedo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Spartak Kostroma - Torpedo Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eshchenko S. (G) 2. Tarasov N. 4. Supranovich N. 3. Bugriev S. (C) 78. Kiselev G. 69. Chursin K. 18. Ignatiev M. 11. Nazarenko E. 35. Enin I. 23. Chikanchi M. 99. Gharibyan A.	25. Soldatenko R. (G) 4. Borodin S. (C) 55. Stepanov D. 3. Ivankov A. 99. Shevchenko G. 5. Moskvichev V. 27. Orekhov A. 84. Churilov V. 73. Shitov V. 7. Yushin A. 79. Kashtanov A.
Substitutes
7. Bokov D. 68. Gaydash M. (G) 17. Kalachev I. 6. Kaplenko K. 80. Khorin A. A. 22. Nemchenko A. 85. Puchkov S. 57. Tlekhugov M. 5. Zhilmostnykh D.	19. Baytukov R. 14. Burkhin E. 97. Curic M. 23. Danilin K. 15. Danilkin E. 46. Dunay V. 8. Galoyan A. 22. Kozhemyakin O. 21. Lomakin A. 90. Roganovic B. 74. Volkov M. (G)
Coaches
Bondar S.	Kononov O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Nazarenko E. 🟨,
40', Kiselev G. 🟨,
45', Bugriev S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kiselev G. ↓, Zhilmostnykh D. ↑,
46', Nazarenko E. ↓, Tlekhugov M. ↑,
49', Chursin K. 🟨,
53', 0 - 1, Yushin A. ⚽,
56', Ignatiev M. 🟨,
57', Ivankov A. 🟨,
65', Chursin K. ↓, Nemchenko A. ↑,
67', Chikanchi M. ↓, Bokov D. ↑,
74', Enin I. 🟨,
75', Gharibyan A. ↓, Kalachev I. ↑,
78', Shitov V. ↓, Galoyan A. ↑,
78', Stepanov D. ↓, Baytukov R. ↑,
82', Yushin A. ↓, Lomakin A. ↑,
90+2', Orekhov A. ↓, Curic M. ↑,
90+2', Shevchenko G. ↓, Roganovic B. ↑,
90+5', Baytukov R. 🟨,
90+6', Supranovich N. 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Spartak Kostroma has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Torpedo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Spartak Kostroma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Spartak Kostroma could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Spartak Kostroma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Kostroma
Russian FNL
22.11.25	Ural - Spartak Kostroma	1:1 ✺
17.11.25	Spartak Kostroma - Rodina Moscow	0:2 ✺
10.11.25	Fakel - Spartak Kostroma	3:2 ✺
02.11.25	Spartak Kostroma - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	3:1 ✺
25.10.25	Shinnik - Spartak Kostroma	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLLWT
- Torpedo Moscow
Russian Cup
25.11.25	Torpedo Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:2 ✺
Russian FNL
21.11.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Torpedo Moscow	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Torpedo Moscow - Rotor	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Torpedo Moscow - Sokol Saratov	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Fakel - Torpedo Moscow	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
11.08.25	Torpedo Moscow - Spartak Kostroma	0:1

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