Match Info

FNL - Round 20

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk)

Referee: Voloshin N. (Rus)


	Volga Ulyanovsk		Torpedo Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.25	2.57
	2.83	3.26	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.6)	3.26 ↑ (3.07)	2.58 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volga Ulyanovsk
34%

Draw
29.2%

Torpedo Moscow
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

30.9%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

32.2%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volga Ulyanovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Torpedo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torpedo Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Volga Ulyanovsk - Torpedo Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Volga Ulyanovsk will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Torpedo will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Torpedo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Torpedo (5.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Torpedo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kenyaykin A. (G) 3. Krasilnichenko O. 4. Ibragimov K. 15. Kokoev D. 99. Kostin A. 8. Rakhmanov D. 90. Folmer K. 29. Shagiakhmetov R. 28. Novikov D. 27. Umnikov M. 9. Kamenshchikov D. (C)	25. Soldatenko R. (G) 4. Borodin S. (C) 22. Kozhemyakin O. 3. Ivankov A. 90. Roganovic B. 97. Curic M. 8. Galoyan A. 99. Shevchenko G. 73. Shitov V. 7. Yushin A. 38. Chupayov A.
Substitutes
17. Gershun I. 77. Gutsa A. 92. Kasyanov I. 20. Kovalev K. 91. Molodtsov A. 7. Murza A. 87. Pshennikov E. 22. Rakhmanov D. 19. Rudenko V. 86. Shaykhutdinov V. (G) 10. Uridia G. 14. Yakovlev V.	19. Baytukov R. 14. Burkhin E. 84. Churilov V. 23. Danilin K. 15. Danilkin E. 46. Dunay V. 79. Kashtanov A. 21. Lomakin A. 5. Moskvichev V. 27. Orekhov A. 55. Stepanov D. 74. Volkov M. (G)
Coaches
Belov M.	Kononov O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Folmer K. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Kamenshchikov D. ⚽,
29', Shagiakhmetov R. ↓, Rakhmanov D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Shitov V. ↓, Kashtanov A. ↑,
46', Kozhemyakin O. ↓, Dunay V. ↑,
46', Curic M. ↓, Orekhov A. ↑,
52', Kamenshchikov D. 🟨,
59', Rakhmanov D. 🟨,
60', Ivankov A. ↓, Lomakin A. ↑,
68', Galoyan A. ↓, Danilin K. ↑,
70', Kamenshchikov D. ↓, Rudenko V. ↑,
70', Folmer K. ↓, Yakovlev V. ↑,
88', Rakhmanov D. ↓, Kovalev K. ↑,
90+4', Rudenko V. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Volga Ulyanovsk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Torpedo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Torpedo has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Volga Ulyanovsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL
15.11.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	KAMAZ - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:3 ✺
02.11.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Rodina Moscow	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Sokol Saratov - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:0 ✺
20.10.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Ufa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWLLW
- Torpedo Moscow
Russian FNL
15.11.25	Torpedo Moscow - Rotor	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Torpedo Moscow - Sokol Saratov	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Fakel - Torpedo Moscow	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
29.10.25	Torpedo Moscow - Kuban-Kholding	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
25.10.25	Torpedo Moscow - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
12.09.25	Torpedo Moscow - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:3

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