Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 42

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Chertsey Town		Hungerford Town

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.9	4.25
	1.61	3.98	4.16
	1.65	4.26	4.34	Watch
	1.62	3.6	4.4
	1.59	3.92	4.62
	1.53	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.62)	3.9 ↓ (4.1)	4.33 ↓ (4.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chertsey Town
56.2%

Draw
23%

Hungerford Town
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

22.7%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

19.5%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chertsey Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Hungerford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chertsey Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Chertsey Town - Hungerford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Wiltshire J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Hungerford is Relegated to

Chertsey is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hungerford has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Chertsey is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chertsey won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Chertsey won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chertsey	9	4	2	3	20:15	5	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chertsey Town
English Southern League South Division
18.04.26	Weymouth - Chertsey Town	5:1 ✺
11.04.26	Chertsey Town - Poole Town	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Walton & Hersham - Chertsey Town	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Chertsey Town - Yate Town	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Farnham Town - Chertsey Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLWTL
- Hungerford Town
English Southern League South Division
18.04.26	Hungerford Town - Dorchester Town	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Hungerford Town - Basingstoke Town	1:3 ✺
06.04.26	Berkhamsted - Hungerford Town	4:1 ✺
03.04.26	Hungerford Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Tiverton Town - Hungerford Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
13.12.25	Hungerford Town - Chertsey Town	0:1
04.02.25	Hungerford Town - Chertsey Town	3:0
10.08.24	Chertsey Town - Hungerford Town	4:1

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