Match Info

ENGLAND: FA TROPHY - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 30 October 2023, Monday


	Bognor Regis Town		Gosport Borough

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.6	1.98
	3.1	3.75	2.05
	3.13	3.9	2
	2.9	3.75	2.05
	3.13	3.78	2.01
	2.95	3.75	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.06)	3.76 ↑ (3.6)	2.02 (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bognor Regis Town
30.3%

Draw
24.4%

Gosport Borough
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

25.3%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

25.2%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bognor Regis Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Gosport Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bognor Regis Town than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Bognor Regis Town - Gosport Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Bognor Regis is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gosport is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gosport will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bognor Regis won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bognor Regis Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.10.23	Whitehawk - Bognor Regis Town	3:2 ✺
21.10.23	Hornchurch - Bognor Regis Town	4:1 ✺
14.10.23	Bognor Regis Town - Concord Rangers	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Bognor Regis Town - Hayes & Yeading United	3:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
30.09.23	Potters Bar Town - Bognor Regis Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWWT
- Gosport Borough
English Southern League South Division
24.10.23	Beaconsfield Town - Gosport Borough	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Gosport Borough - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
14.10.23	Salisbury - Gosport Borough	2:0 ✺
11.10.23	Gosport Borough - Dorchester Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Gosport Borough - Salisbury	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
12.09.20	Gosport Borough - Bognor Regis Town	0:1
05.08.13	Gosport Borough - Bognor Regis Town	0:1

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