Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 31

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: The Meadow (Chesham)


	Chesham United		Weymouth

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.3	3.8
	1.85	3.3	3.75
	1.87	3.42	3.96
	1.89	3.45	4.07
	1.8	3.4	4.2
	1.81	3.52	4.07
	1.85	3.3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.65)	3.38 ↓ (3.78)	3.94 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesham United
49.8%

Draw
27%

Weymouth
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

24.1%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

23%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chesham United's form might have worsened.

Weymouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chesham United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Chesham United - Weymouth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Weiss M. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Genesini B. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, Joseph Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 3 - 1, Lafleur A. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Szeged won 3.

In this match Szeged is indisputable favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Szeged won 12 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 449:402 (average 28.1:25.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Szeged won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 234:195 (average 29.3:24.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesham United
English National League South
04.02.25	Farnborough - Chesham United	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Chelmsford City - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Bath City - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
21.01.25	Chesham United - Chelmsford City	2:2 ✺
18.01.25	Chesham United - Maidstone United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LTTTW
- Weymouth
English National League South
01.02.25	Weymouth - Welling United	5:1 ✺
28.01.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Weymouth	2:0 ✺
25.01.25	Weymouth - Enfield Town	1:1 ✺
21.01.25	Weymouth - Maidstone United	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Worthing - Weymouth	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
19.10.24	Weymouth - Chesham United	1:1
English Southern League South Division
20.04.19	Weymouth - Chesham United	1:1
25.08.18	Chesham United - Weymouth	0:5
English Southern Premier League
24.03.18	Chesham United - Weymouth	0:6
02.12.17	Weymouth - Chesham United	1:0
14.04.17	Weymouth - Chesham United	2:0
27.08.16	Chesham United - Weymouth	1:1

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