Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 16

Date: 10 January 2024, Wednesday

Location: SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield)


	Chesterfield		Gateshead

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	7.5
	1.34	4.8	6.25
	1.36	5	7.5	Watch
	1.36	5.53	7.33
	1.36	5.53	7.33
	1.3	4.8	7.5
	1.36	5.1	6.93
	1.36	4.9	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.83)	5.02 ↑ (3.96)	7.12 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesterfield
68.6%

Draw
18.4%

Gateshead
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

23.4%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

22.9%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chesterfield's performance.

Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gateshead might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chesterfield that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gateshead could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	10%	15%

Chesterfield - Gateshead Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Gateshead will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 56% – 94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tyrer H. (G) 11. Colclough R. 9. Grigg W. 3. Horton B. 10. Jacobs M. 20. King J. 7. Mandeville L. 4. Naylor T. 8. Oldaker D. 21. Palmer A. 12. Williams T.	1. Beach E. (G) 3. Booty R. 9. Dinanga M. 19. Hannant L. 20. Hasani L. 15. Hunter J. 30. Jobe M. 21. McBride C. 5. Richardson K. 6. Storey L. 28. Stott J.
Substitutes
28. Banks O. 18. Berry-McNally J. 17. Dobra A. 27. Quigley J. 22. Sheckleford R.	13. Bond H. (G) 22. Constantin W. 37. Lowery L. 39. Thompson O. 11. Worman B.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Chesterfield in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gateshead is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Chesterfield is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Chesterfield to win the game is with odds 1.72.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Chesterfield won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesterfield
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Watford - Chesterfield	2:1 ✺
English National League
01.01.24	Chesterfield - Solihull Moors	3:2 ✺
26.12.23	Solihull Moors - Chesterfield	2:0 ✺
23.12.23	Chesterfield - Aldershot Town	4:1 ✺
16.12.23	Hartlepool United - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLWW
- Gateshead
English National League
01.01.24	York City - Gateshead	2:0 ✺
26.12.23	Gateshead - York City	1:1 ✺
23.12.23	Oldham Athletic - Gateshead	1:2 ✺
16.12.23	Gateshead - Halifax Town	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
12.12.23	Rochdale - Gateshead	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
04.03.23	Gateshead - Chesterfield	1:2
01.11.22	Chesterfield - Gateshead	2:1
19.04.19	Gateshead - Chesterfield	1:0
22.09.18	Chesterfield - Gateshead	0:3

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