Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Vicarage Road (Watford)

Referee: Ward G. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Voyo
Denmark	Discovery+, Eurosport 2, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Malaysia	Astro
Norway	Viaplay
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay


	Watford		Chesterfield

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.25	7	Watch
	1.4	5	7
	1.4	5	8	Watch
	1.39	5.36	6.72
	1.4	5.5	7.08
	1.33	4.8	7
	1.4	5.25	6.5	Watch
	1.34	5.6	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.44)	5.22 ↑ (4.66)	7.09 ↑ (6.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Watford
68.6%

Draw
18.1%

Chesterfield
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

20.1%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

20.2%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	6.7%	26.7%

Watford - Chesterfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bachmann D. (G) 24. Dele-Bashiru T. 3. Sierralta F. 4. Hoedt W. (C) 42. Morris J. 8. Livermore J. 37. Matheus Martins 16. Chakvetadze G. 11. Kone I. 18. Asprilla Y. 14. Healey R.	23. Boot R. (G) 22. Sheckleford R. 16. Freckleton M. 21. Palmer A. 3. Horton B. 4. Naylor T. (C) 8. Oldaker D. 7. Mandeville L. 28. Banks O. 17. Dobra A. 27. Quigley J.
Substitutes
45. Andrews R. 17. Cabezas J. 59. Grieves J. 7. Ince T. 10. Louza I. 15. Pollock M. 5. Porteous R. 9. Rajovic M. 40. Roberts M. (G)	18. Berry-McNally J. 11. Colclough R. 40. Cook C. 9. Grigg W. 10. Jacobs M. 35. Jones M. 20. King J. 1. Tyrer H. (G) 12. Williams T.
Coaches
Ismael V.	Cook P.

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Recent matches Watford is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chesterfield is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Watford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Watford is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Watford FC
English League Championship
01.01.24	Plymouth Argyle - Watford	3:3 ✺
29.12.23	Watford - Stoke City	1:1 ✺
26.12.23	Watford - Bristol City	1:4 ✺
23.12.23	Blackburn Rovers - Watford	1:2 ✺
16.12.23	Preston North End - Watford	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTLWW
- Chesterfield
English National League
01.01.24	Chesterfield - Solihull Moors	3:2 ✺
26.12.23	Solihull Moors - Chesterfield	2:0 ✺
23.12.23	Chesterfield - Aldershot Town	4:1 ✺
16.12.23	Hartlepool United - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Chesterfield - Southport	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWW

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