Match Info

League Two - Round 23

Date: 29 December 2025, Monday

Location: SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield)

Referee: Jackson S. (Eng)


	Chesterfield		Cambridge United

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.05	2.57
	2.58	3.05	2.78	Watch
	2.54	3.16	2.78	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.7
	2.55	3.13	2.72	Watch
	2.57	3.2	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.29)	3.12 ↓ (3.2)	2.72 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesterfield
36.3%

Draw
29.7%

Cambridge United
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

28.6%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

28.9%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Chesterfield - Cambridge United Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Cambridge will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Chesterfield (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cambridge (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hemming Z. (G) 30. Tanton D. 6. McFadzean K. 5. Grimes J. (C) 19. Gordon L. 4. Naylor T. 8. Stirk R. 7. Mandeville L. 27. Darcy R. 11. Duffy D. 10. Bonis L.	1. Eastwood J. (G) 2. Bennett L. 23. Jobe M. 6. Watts K. 26. Gibbons J. (C) 38. Hoddle G. 7. Brophy J. 21. McLoughlin S. 17. Mpanzu P. 15. Mayor A. 9. Appere L.
Substitutes
28. Berry-McNally J. 23. Boot R. (G) 25. Dickson W. 44. Donacien J. 13. Fleck J. 9. Grigg W. 3. Lewis A.	4. Ball D. 25. Hughes B. (G) 16. Ibsen Rossi Z. 11. Kaikai S. 14. Knight B. 19. Lavery S. 3. Purrington B.
Coaches
Cook P.	Harris N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Hoddle G. 🟨,
30', Gordon L. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
44', 0 - 1, McLoughlin S. ⚽, Brophy J. (A),
45+5', Mayor A. ↓, Kaikai S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Grimes J. ↓, Donacien J. ↑,
57', Duffy D. ↓, Berry-McNally J. ↑,
57', Bonis L. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
69', Appere L. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
69', McLoughlin S. ↓, Ball D. ↑,
71', Darcy R. ↓, Dickson W. ↑,
72', Lavery S. 🟨,
76', Gibbons J. 🟨,
76', Hemming Z. 🟨,
82', Eastwood J. 🟨,
89', Brophy J. ↓, Purrington B. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Chesterfield: Dobra A. (Inactive) Hobson B. (Inactive) Markanday D. (Inactive)

There will not play in Cambridge: Morrison M. (Inactive) Smith K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Chesterfield: Dibley-Dias M. (Knee Injury) Donacien J. (Inactive) Dunkley C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cambridge: Ball D. (Inactive) Bradshaw Z. (Inactive) Kouassi K. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Chesterfield won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Chesterfield - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.02%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Cambridge United - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.33%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesterfield
English League Two
26.12.25	Chesterfield - Notts County	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Shrewsbury Town - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Chesterfield - Barnet	3:1 ✺
09.12.25	Cambridge United - Chesterfield	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Chesterfield - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWTL
- Cambridge United
English League Two
26.12.25	Gillingham - Cambridge United	1:1 ✺
19.12.25	Cambridge United - Accrington Stanley	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Cambridge United	1:1 ✺
09.12.25	Cambridge United - Chesterfield	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Stockport County - Cambridge United	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
09.12.25	Cambridge United - Chesterfield	1:1
13.02.18	Chesterfield - Cambridge United	2:3
21.10.17	Cambridge United - Chesterfield	2:1

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