Match Info

League Two - Round 19

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Abbey Stadium (Cambridge)

Referee: Swallow E. (Eng)


	Cambridge United		Chesterfield

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.05	3.7	Watch
	2.12	3.05	3.55	Watch
	2.12	3.14	3.91
	2.07	3.23	3.6	Watch
	2.1	3	3.6
	2.11	3.06	3.67	Watch
	2.08	3.1	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.15)	3.09 ↑ (3.05)	3.69 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambridge United
44.6%

Draw
30.2%

Chesterfield
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29.7%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

28.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	16.7%	8.3%

Cambridge United - Chesterfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambridge: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cambridge United will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eastwood J. (G) 2. Bennett L. 23. Jobe M. 6. Watts K. 3. Purrington B. 8. Smith K. 17. Mpanzu P. 7. Brophy J. 27. McConnell G. 15. Mayor A. 10. Kachunga E.	1. Hemming Z. (G) 30. Tanton D. 6. McFadzean K. 22. Dunkley C. (C) 3. Lewis A. 4. Naylor T. 8. Stirk R. 27. Darcy R. 7. Mandeville L. 11. Duffy D. 10. Bonis L.
Substitutes
9. Appere L. 26. Gibbons J. 38. Hoddle G. 25. Hughes B. (G) 16. Ibsen Rossi Z. 11. Kaikai S. 14. Knight B.	28. Berry-McNally J. 23. Boot R. (G) 16. Butterfield L. 20. Daley-Campbell V. 25. Dickson W. 19. Gordon L. 9. Grigg W.
Coaches
Harris N.	Cook P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Watts K. ⚽, McConnell G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', McConnell G. ↓, Hoddle G. ↑,
63', Kachunga E. ↓, Appere L. ↑,
67', Stirk R. ↓, Butterfield L. ↑,
68', Lewis A. ↓, Gordon L. ↑,
68', Duffy D. ↓, Berry-McNally J. ↑,
80', Bonis L. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
81', Darcy R. ↓, Dickson W. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, McFadzean K. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).

Cambridge is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chesterfield is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cambridge could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Cambridge: Ball D. (Inactive) Kouassi K. (Hamstring Injury) Lavery S. (Hamstring Injury) McLoughlin S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Chesterfield: Dibley-Dias M. (Knee Injury) Dobra A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Chesterfield: Williams T. (Surgery)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Cambridge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cambridge United
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Stockport County - Cambridge United	0:1 penalties ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Bristol Rovers - Cambridge United	3:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
29.11.25	Cambridge United - Crewe Alexandra	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Barrow - Cambridge United	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Cambridge United - Barnet	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WLWWT
- Chesterfield
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Chesterfield - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Doncaster Rovers - Chesterfield	5:1 ✺
English League Two
29.11.25	Chesterfield - Swindon Town	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Crewe Alexandra - Chesterfield	3:3 ✺
15.11.25	Grimsby Town - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
13.02.18	Chesterfield - Cambridge United	2:3
21.10.17	Cambridge United - Chesterfield	2:1

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