Match Info

League Two - Round 21

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: The Croud Meadow (Shrewsbury)

Referee: Howard P. (Eng)


	Shrewsbury Town		Chesterfield

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.3	2.45
	2.72	3.35	2.48	Watch
	2.91	3.51	2.4
	2.67	3.59	2.4	Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.4
	2.74	3.32	2.42	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.69)	3.4 ↑ (3.3)	2.42 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shrewsbury Town
34%

Draw
27.4%

Chesterfield
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

28%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

28.8%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Chesterfield aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Shrewsbury Town - Chesterfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Shrewsbury will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chesterfield (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Brook W. (G) 2. Hoole L. 4. Anderson T. 5. Boyle W. 20. Kabia I. 7. McDermott T. 25. Ruffels J. 6. Clucas S. 14. Perry T. 9. Lloyd G. 27. Marquis J. (C)	1. Hemming Z. (G) 30. Tanton D. 6. McFadzean K. 22. Dunkley C. (C) 19. Gordon L. 4. Naylor T. 8. Stirk R. 7. Mandeville L. 27. Darcy R. 11. Duffy D. 10. Bonis L.
Substitutes
15. Aneke Ch. 3. Benning M. 38. England I. 43. Gray W. 1. Harrison E. (G) 10. Sang T. 26. Stubbs S.	28. Berry-McNally J. 23. Boot R. (G) 16. Butterfield L. 20. Daley-Campbell V. 25. Dickson W. 9. Grigg W. 3. Lewis A.
Coaches
Appleton M.	Cook P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, Bonis L. ⚽, Gordon L. (A),
67', McFadzean K. 🟨,
69', Duffy D. ↓, Berry-McNally J. ↑,
75', Bonis L. 🟨,
76', McDermott T. ↓, England I. ↑,
77', Bonis L. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
78', Tanton D. ↓, Daley-Campbell V. ↑,
82', Naylor T. 🟨,
85', Lloyd G. ↓, Aneke Ch. ↑,
85', Marquis J. ↓, Sang T. ↑,
90+1', Darcy R. ↓, Dickson W. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 9).

Recent performances by Shrewsbury have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chesterfield is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Chesterfield: Dobra A. (Inactive) Donacien J. (Inactive) Fleck J. (Inactive) Hobson B. (Inactive) Markanday D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Chesterfield: Dibley-Dias M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1.3:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Shrewsbury won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Shrewsbury Town - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.31%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shrewsbury Town
English League Two
13.12.25	Walsall - Shrewsbury Town	1:1 ✺
09.12.25	Shrewsbury Town - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Sutton United - Shrewsbury Town	1:2 ET ✺
English League Two
29.11.25	Shrewsbury Town - Gillingham	3:3 ✺
22.11.25	Fleetwood Town - Shrewsbury Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTWTL
- Chesterfield
English League Two
13.12.25	Chesterfield - Barnet	3:1 ✺
09.12.25	Cambridge United - Chesterfield	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Chesterfield - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Doncaster Rovers - Chesterfield	5:1 ✺
English League Two
29.11.25	Chesterfield - Swindon Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
11.03.17	Chesterfield - Shrewsbury Town	1:1
20.08.16	Shrewsbury Town - Chesterfield	2:1
02.01.16	Chesterfield - Shrewsbury Town	7:1
18.08.15	Shrewsbury Town - Chesterfield	1:2

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