Match Info

League Two - Round 21

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Location: Abbey Stadium (Cambridge)

Referee: Watkins R. (Eng)


	Cambridge United		Accrington Stanley

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	4.75
	1.72	3.55	4.7
	1.78	3.62	4.92
	1.75	3.6	4.52	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.6
	1.72	3.54	4.78	Watch
	1.76	3.5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.92)	3.53 ↑ (3.31)	4.72 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambridge United
53.8%

Draw
26.5%

Accrington Stanley
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

28%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.8%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cambridge United's performance.

Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cambridge United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	16.7%	5.6%

Cambridge United - Accrington Stanley Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Accrington will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambridge: 58.6% – 97%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Accrington (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cambridge United will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambridge (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Accrington (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eastwood J. (G) 26. Gibbons J. 23. Jobe M. 6. Watts K. 15. Mayor A. 38. Hoddle G. 17. Mpanzu P. 7. Brophy J. 9. Appere L. 2. Bennett L. 11. Kaikai S.	13. Wright O. (G) 2. Love D. 28. Conneely S. (C) 14. Ward B. 38. O'Brien C. 4. Grant C. 16. Bauress J. 30. Heath I. 7. Whalley S. 11. Sinclair I. 18. Caton C.
Substitutes
25. Hughes B. (G) 16. Ibsen Rossi Z. 10. Kachunga E. 14. Knight B. 19. Lavery S. 27. McConnell G. 21. McLoughlin S.	20. Brown C. 10. Henderson A. 1. Kelly M. (G) 22. Martin D. 39. Woods J.
Coaches
Harris N.	Doolan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Watts K. 🟨,
39', Watts K. ↓, Ibsen Rossi Z. ↑,
45+5', 1 - 0, Gibbons J. ⚽, Ibsen Rossi Z. (A),
45+6', Bauress J. ↓, Martin D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 2 - 0, Kaikai S. ⚽, Mayor A. (A),
65', Sinclair I. ↓, Henderson A. ↑,
79', Heath I. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
79', Conneely S. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
80', Brophy J. ↓, McLoughlin S. ↑,
80', Appere L. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
86', Kaikai S. ↓, Knight B. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 9 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Cambridge is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Cambridge: Ball D. (Inactive) Lavery S. (Hamstring Injury) McLoughlin S. (Inactive) Morrison M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Accrington: Hall C. (Inactive) Mooney K. (Inactive) Sass F. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cambridge: Bradshaw Z. (Inactive) Kouassi K. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Accrington: Coyle L. (Injury) Walton T. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cambridge won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cambridge United
English League Two
13.12.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Cambridge United	1:1 ✺
09.12.25	Cambridge United - Chesterfield	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Stockport County - Cambridge United	0:1 penalties ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Bristol Rovers - Cambridge United	3:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
29.11.25	Cambridge United - Crewe Alexandra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TTWLW
- Accrington Stanley
English League Two
13.12.25	Accrington Stanley - Bromley	0:1 ✺
09.12.25	Harrogate Town - Accrington Stanley	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Accrington Stanley - Mansfield Town	2:3 penalties ✺
English League Two
29.11.25	Accrington Stanley - Oldham Athletic	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Crawley Town - Accrington Stanley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
29.04.23	Accrington Stanley - Cambridge United	1:2
19.11.22	Cambridge United - Accrington Stanley	0:1
19.02.22	Cambridge United - Accrington Stanley	2:0
14.08.21	Accrington Stanley - Cambridge United	2:1
English League Two
24.02.18	Accrington Stanley - Cambridge United	1:0
11.11.17	Cambridge United - Accrington Stanley	0:0
28.03.17	Accrington Stanley - Cambridge United	2:0

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