Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield)

Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Chesterfield		Mansfield Town

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.7	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.95
	1.98	3.55	3.45	Watch
	1.99	3.61	3.67
	2.3	3.5	3
	1.96	3.61	3.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.11)	3.56 ↑ (3.51)	3.41 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesterfield
45.6%

Draw
26.6%

Mansfield Town
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

26.7%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

26.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	5.9%	0%

Chesterfield - Mansfield Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Chesterfield will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chesterfield will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hemming Z. (G) 20. Daley-Campbell V. 22. Dunkley C. (C) 6. McFadzean K. 19. Gordon L. 18. Dibley-Dias M. 8. Stirk R. 24. Markanday D. 27. Darcy R. 17. Dobra A. 9. Grigg W.	1. Roberts L. (G) 18. Oates R. 9. Bowery J. 5. Sweeney R. (C) 6. Cargill B. 20. Blake-Tracy F. 8. Lewis A. 10. Maris G. 22. Moriah-Welsh N. 21. McAdam K. 14. Dwyer D.
Substitutes
10. Bonis L. 23. Boot R. (G) 16. Butterfield L. 11. Duffy D. 5. Grimes J. 3. Lewis A. 7. Mandeville L. 4. Naylor T. 2. Sheckleford R.	11. Evans W. 30. Flanagan F. 32. Hartmann E. 24. Hendry R. 4. Hewitt E. 31. Kruszynski J. 12. Mason O. (G) 15. McDonnell J. 3. McLaughlin S.
Coaches
Cook P.	Clough N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', Bowery J. 🟨,
2', 0 - 1, Oates R. ⚽, Dwyer D. (A),
36', Oates R. ↓, Evans W. ↑,
39', Dibley-Dias M. ↓, Naylor T. ↑,
45', Cargill B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dwyer D. ↓, Hewitt E. ↑,
53', Lewis A. 🟨,
59', 0 - 2, Evans W. ⚽,
65', Blake-Tracy F. ↓, McLaughlin S. ↑,
65', Maris G. ↓, McDonnell J. ↑,
68', Grigg W. ↓, Bonis L. ↑,
68', Dobra A. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
73', Naylor T. 🟨,
76', Darcy R. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
76', Markanday D. ↓, Butterfield L. ↑,
77', Sweeney R. ↓, Hendry R. ↑,
88', McDonnell J. 🟨,

Preview

Chesterfield has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mansfield's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Chesterfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesterfield
English League Two
09.08.25	Cheltenham Town - Chesterfield	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Chesterfield - Barrow	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Chesterfield - Sheffield United	1:4 ✺
19.07.25	Alfreton Town - Chesterfield	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Chesterfield - Nottingham Forest	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLTT
- Mansfield Town
English League One
09.08.25	Mansfield Town - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Burton Albion - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.25	Matlock Town - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
22.07.25	Mansfield Town - Oxford United	0:1 ✺
19.07.25	Mansfield Town - Middlesbrough	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
14.04.18	Chesterfield - Mansfield Town	0:1
25.11.17	Mansfield Town - Chesterfield	2:2
22.03.14	Mansfield Town - Chesterfield	0:0
English EFL Trophy
08.10.13	Mansfield Town - Chesterfield	0:1
English League Two
28.09.13	Chesterfield - Mansfield Town	0:1

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