Match Info

League One - Round 11

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: One Call Stadium (Mansfield) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Australia	06:00	beIN Sports 3
Brazil	16:00	Disney+
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	16:00	Disney+
Colombia	14:00	Disney+
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan
Mexico	13:00	Disney+
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	08:00	beIN Connect
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	20:00	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+


	Mansfield Town		Oxford United

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	2.85	Watch
	2.37	3.60	2.65
	2.22	3.45	2.9	Watch
	2.3	3.74	3
	2.3	3.54	2.89	Watch
	2.2	3.65	2.9
	2.22	3.6	2.93	Watch
	2.25	3.55	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.5)	3.59 ↑ (3.37)	2.88 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mansfield Town
41.5%

Draw
26%

Oxford United
32.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.9%

27.5%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

27.1%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mansfield Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Mansfield Town - Oxford United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.26) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roberts L. (G) 4. Hewitt E. 23. Oshilaja A. 5. Sweeney R. (C) 25. Reed L. 22. Moriah-Welsh N. 33. Abbott G. 13. Russell J. 16. Thompson L. 14. Smith M. 18. Oates R.	1. Cumming J. (G) 30. Kioso P. 6. Helik M. 3. Brown C. 15. Spencer B. 8. Brannagan C. (C) 32. Sibley L. 20. Lynch L. 4. Andrews K. 23. Dembele S. 9. Harris M.
Substitutes
20. Blake-Tracy F. 9. Bowery J. 24. Hendry R. 2. Knoyle K. 10. Maris G. 3. McLaughlin S. 19. Roberts T.	26. Currie J. 13. Eastwood S. (G) 11. Goodrham T. 2. Long S. 57. Missanga M. 19. O'Donkor G. 27. Snowden L.
Coaches
Clough N.	Ramsey A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Moriah-Welsh N. 🟨,
22', Kioso P. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Lynch L. ⚽, Dembele S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Abbott G. ↓, McLaughlin S. ↑,
54', Russell J. 🟨,
59', Lynch L. ↓, Missanga M. ↑,
59', Sibley L. ↓, O'Donkor G. ↑,
61', Moriah-Welsh N. ↓, Roberts T. ↑,
72', O'Donkor G. 🟨,
73', Sweeney R. ↓, Blake-Tracy F. ↑,
73', Russell J. ↓, Hendry R. ↑,
75', Kioso P. 🟨,
77', Harris M. ↓, Currie J. ↑,
79', Hewitt E. ↓, Maris G. ↑,
80', Dembele S. ↓, Long S. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Smith M. ⚽,
84', O'Donkor G. 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 14th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 1.

Mansfield has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Oxford shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Mansfield: Akins L. (Inactive) Cargill B. (Hamstring Injury).

Confirmed absences for Oxford: Kent F. (Inactive) McDonnell J. (Injury) Roosken R. (Back Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Mansfield: McGoldrick D. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Oxford: Emakhu A. (Muscle Injury) Jeon Jin-Woo (Back Injury).

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Mansfield has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:14 (averaging 0.9:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mansfield against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 5:6 goals (averaging 1:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Oxford Utd	11	6	4	1	19:10	9	22
10	Mansfield	11	5	3	3	20:16	4	18

Outrights of English League One for now

Oxford Utd: 6.65% Mansfield: 2.59%

Last Results with these Odds

Mansfield Town - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.95%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Oxford United - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.58%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mansfield Town
English League One
10.10.26	Mansfield Town - Bromley	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
06.10.26	Port Vale - Mansfield Town	2:0 ✺
English League One
19.09.26	Burton Albion - Mansfield Town	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Mansfield Town - Huddersfield Town	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Bradford City - Mansfield Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLTTL
- Oxford United
English League One
10.10.26	Notts County - Oxford United	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
06.10.26	Exeter City - Oxford United	3:2 penalties ✺
English League One
19.09.26	Oxford United - Cambridge United	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Oxford United - Burton Albion	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Leicester City - Oxford United	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.07.25	Mansfield Town - Oxford United	0:1
27.07.24	Mansfield Town - Oxford United	1:0
English League Two
09.02.16	Oxford United - Mansfield Town	2:2
22.08.15	Mansfield Town - Oxford United	1:1
21.02.15	Oxford United - Mansfield Town	3:0
16.08.14	Mansfield Town - Oxford United	2:1
15.02.14	Oxford United - Mansfield Town	3:0

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