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Current Win Probability
Gillingham 34.4%
Draw 31.3%
Chesterfield 34.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.7%
26.9%
38.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.1%
26.4%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
16.7%
58.3%
Gillingham - Chesterfield Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 41% – 80.8%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chesterfield will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Morris G. (G) 14. McKenzie R. 30. Gale S. 5. Smith A. 2. Hutton R. 8. Little A. (C) 10. Williams J. 6. Coleman E. 32. Cirino L. 9. Andrews J. 20. Nevitt E.
1. Hemming Z. (G) 20. Daley-Campbell V. 22. Dunkley C. (C) 6. McFadzean K. 19. Gordon L. 4. Naylor T. 8. Stirk R. 24. Markanday D. 17. Dobra A. 27. Darcy R. 9. Grigg W.
Substitutes
23. Dack B. 17. Gbode J. 27. Khumbeni N. 11. Rowe A. 25. Turner J. (G) . Vokes S. 18. Wyllie M.
10. Bonis L. 23. Boot R. (G) 11. Duffy D. 13. Fleck J. 5. Grimes J. 3. Lewis A. 7. Mandeville L.
Coaches
Ainsworth G.
Cook P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Little A. (Pen),
37', Andrews J. 🟨,
45+1', Cirino L. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
50', 2 - 0, Little A. (Pen),
53', 2 - 1, Dobra A. ⚽, Grigg W. (A),
56', 3 - 1, Cirino L. ⚽, Morris G. (A),
62', Daley-Campbell V. 🟨,
68', Cirino L. ↓, Rowe A. ↑,
69', Grigg W. ↓, Bonis L. ↑,
70', Daley-Campbell V. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
70', Naylor T. ↓, Fleck J. ↑,
71', Coleman E. 🟨,
73', Nevitt E. 🟨,
77', Darcy R. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
81', Andrews J. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
81', Nevitt E. ↓, Wyllie M. ↑,
87', Williams J. ↓, Dack B. ↑,
87', Little A. ↓, Khumbeni N. ↑,
88', Gordon L. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 1, Wyllie M. ⚽, Khumbeni N. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Recently, Chesterfield has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Gillingham: Clark M.
(Red Card)
Masterson C.
(Injury)
Williams E.
(Shoulder Injury)
There will not play in Chesterfield: Butterfield L.
(Foot Injury)
Donacien J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Tanton D.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Gillingham: Ogie S.
(Inactive)
Palmer-Houlden S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Vokes S.
(Broken Hand)
There are questionable in Chesterfield: Dibley-Dias M.
(Injury)
Williams T.
(Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Gillingham - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 34.73%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Morris G. (G) 
Williams J. 
Cirino L. 
Dunkley C. (C) 
Gordon L. 
Dobra A. 
Grigg W. 
Duffy D. 
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