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Current Win Probability
Chesterfield 57.1%
Draw 23.8%
Crawley Town 19%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.1%
22.6%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.8%
22%
15.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chesterfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Chesterfield - Crawley Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
Chesterfield will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chesterfield will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hemming Z. (G) 20. Daley-Campbell V. 22. Dunkley C. (C) 6. McFadzean K. 19. Gordon L. 18. Dibley-Dias M. 8. Stirk R. 27. Darcy R. 17. Dobra A. 11. Duffy D. 10. Bonis L.
1. Davies H. (G) 22. Adeyemo A. 18. Cashman D. 28. Flint J. 3. Conroy D. (C) 5. Barker C. 27. Watson L. 13. McKirdy H. 4. Bajrami G. 24. Dixon K. 17. Scott K.
Substitutes
23. Boot R. (G) 13. Fleck J. 9. Grigg W. 3. Lewis A. 7. Mandeville L. 24. Markanday D. 4. Naylor T.
6. Anderson M. 10. Brown R. 14. Flower L. 7. Forster H. 19. Pereira D. 11. Roles J. 9. Tshimanga K.
Coaches
Cook P.
Lindsey S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
8', Barker C. 🟨,
9', 0 - 1, McKirdy H. ⚽, Barker C. (A),
20', Darcy R. 🟨,
36', 0 - 2, McKirdy H. (Pen),
36', McKirdy H. 🟨,
45', Bajrami G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', Scott K. 🟨,
51', Gordon L. 🟨,
54', Dobra A. 🟨,
56', 1 - 2, Duffy D. ⚽, Daley-Campbell V. (A),
58', 2 - 2, Dobra A. ⚽, Daley-Campbell V. (A),
61', Bajrami G. ↓, Tshimanga K. ↑,
61', Watson L. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
61', Adeyemo A. ↓, Flower L. ↑,
66', Cashman D. ↓, Forster H. ↑,
69', Duffy D. ↓, Markanday D. ↑,
69', Dibley-Dias M. ↓, Naylor T. ↑,
70', Darcy R. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
76', McKirdy H. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
79', Daley-Campbell V. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
84', Dobra A. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', Lewis A. 🟨,
Preview
Chesterfield has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Crawley is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Chesterfield is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Chesterfield: Butterfield L.
(Foot Injury)
Donacien J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Tanton D.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Chesterfield: Berry-McNally J.
(Injury)
Williams T.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Crawley: Forster H.
(Injury)
Pereira D.
(Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).