Match Info

EFL Trophy - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Sixfields Stadium (Northampton)

Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Northampton Town		Walsall

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3	Watch
				Watch
	2.06	3.64	3.29	Watch
	2.05	3	3.1
	2.08	3.74	3.12	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.32)	3.48 ↑ (3.27)	3.17 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northampton Town
44.6%

Draw
26.4%

Walsall
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

27.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

27.6%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Northampton Town's performance.

Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Northampton Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Northampton Town - Walsall Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Walsall will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Northampton: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Northampton Town will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 2.

In recent matches, Northampton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Walsall has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Northampton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).

Outrights of English EFL Trophy for now

Walsall: 0.64% Northampton: 0.64%

Last Results with these Odds

Walsall - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 33.3%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northampton Town
English League One
04.01.26	Bolton Wanderers - Northampton Town	0:0 ✺
01.01.26	Northampton Town - Stockport County	0:0 ✺
29.12.25	Huddersfield Town - Northampton Town	2:0 ✺
26.12.25	Burton Albion - Northampton Town	5:1 ✺
19.12.25	Northampton Town - AFC Wimbledon	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TTLLW
- Walsall FC
English FA Cup
11.01.26	Norwich City - Walsall	5:1 ✺
English League Two
01.01.26	Cambridge United - Walsall	2:0 ✺
29.12.25	Walsall - Oldham Athletic	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	Walsall - Crewe Alexandra	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Notts County - Walsall	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Walsall - Northampton Town	0:1
English League Two
04.02.23	Northampton Town - Walsall	0:0
04.10.22	Walsall - Northampton Town	1:0
01.03.22	Northampton Town - Walsall	1:1
05.02.22	Walsall - Northampton Town	0:1
English EFL Trophy
05.10.21	Northampton Town - Walsall	1:2 penalties
English League Two
15.02.20	Walsall - Northampton Town	3:2

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