Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 33

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Chełmianka Chełm		Naprzód Jędrzejów

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.15	9.8
	1.18	6.32	11.23
	1.22	5.64	10.62	Watch
	1.2	5.5	11
	1.17	5.95	12.5	Watch
	1.3	4.8	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.3)	5.56 ↑ (4.8)	10.29 ↑ (6.6)

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chełmianka Chełm
74.8%

Draw
16.3%

Naprzód Jędrzejów
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

18.5%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

17.5%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chełmianka Chełm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chełmianka Chełm's performance.

Naprzód Jędrzejów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chełmianka Chełm than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naprzód Jędrzejów than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Chełmianka Chełm - Naprzód Jędrzejów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 13).

Chełmianka is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Naprzód Jędrzejów's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Chełmianka is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Chełmianka will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chełmianka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	11	8	3	0	18:5	13	27
3	Naprzod Jedrzejow	11	6	2	3	27:21	6	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chełmianka Chełm
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
17.05.26	Cracovia 2 - Chełmianka Chełm	3:3 ✺
13.05.26	Chełmianka Chełm - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Star Starachowice	5:2 ✺
01.05.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Chełmianka Chełm	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Korona Kielce 2	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWWTW
- Naprzód Jędrzejów
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
16.05.26	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Świdniczanka Świdnik	3:2 ✺
13.05.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Naprzód Jędrzejów	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Star Starachowice - Naprzód Jędrzejów	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
09.11.25	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Chełmianka Chełm	0:2

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