Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 12

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Chełmianka Chełm		Wiślanie Skawina

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.8	3.7
	1.73	3.82	3.86	Watch
	1.77	3.66	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.55)	3.76 ↓ (4.1)	3.74 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chełmianka Chełm
51.9%

Draw
24%

Wiślanie Skawina
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

21.7%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

23.8%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chełmianka Chełm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chełmianka Chełm's form might have worsened.

Wiślanie Skawina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chełmianka Chełm than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chełmianka Chełm, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wiślanie Skawina than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wiślanie Skawina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chełmianka Chełm - Wiślanie Skawina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by Chełmianka have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wiślanie is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Chełmianka is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chełmianka won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Chełmianka won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chełmianka Chełm
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
04.10.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Chełmianka Chełm	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Chełmianka Chełm	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Avia Świdnik	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Chełmianka Chełm	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWTTT
- Wiślanie Skawina
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
04.10.25	Avia Świdnik - Wiślanie Skawina	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Star Starachowice	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Wisła II Kraków - Wiślanie Skawina	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Stal Kraśnik	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Wiślanie Skawina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
07.06.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Chełmianka Chełm	3:2
16.11.24	Chełmianka Chełm - Wiślanie Skawina	1:1

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