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Current Win Probability
Chicago Fire 41.6%
Draw 27.8%
Houston Dynamo 30.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
28.7%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
30.9%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
16.7%
33.3%
Chicago Fire - Houston Dynamo Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Houston will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Brady C. (G) 2. Souquet A. 14. Salquist T. 5. Czichos R. 27. Arigoni A. 21. Herbers F. 23. Acosta K. 7. Haile-Selassie M. 10. Shaqiri X. (C) 8. Mueller C. 9. Cuypers H.
12. Clark S. (C) 25. Dorsey G. 28. Sviatchenko E. 4. Bartlow E. 2. Escobar F. 21. Gregus J. 6. Artur 20. Carrasquilla A. 27. Kowalczyk S. 18. Ibrahim A. 8. Bassi A.
Substitutes
12. Barlow T. 24. Dean J. 30. Gimenez G. 17. Gutierrez B. 19. Koutsias G. 31. Navarro F. 16. Omsberg W. 22. Pineda M. 18. Richey S. (G)
15. Blessing L. 35. Raines B. 32. Sargeant K. 22. Schmitt T. 17. Segal G. 3. Smith B. 5. Steres D. 26. Sylla O. 13. Tarbell A. (G)
Coaches
Klopas F.
Olsen B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Shaqiri X. (Pen),
44', Sviatchenko E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Gregus J. ↓, Smith B. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Ibrahim A. ⚽, Carrasquilla A. (A),
68', Czichos R. 🟨,
70', Salquist T. ↓, Dean J. ↑,
70', Mueller C. ↓, Gutierrez B. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Gutierrez B. ⚽, Shaqiri X. (A),
83', Shaqiri X. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
83', Cuypers H. ↓, Koutsias G. ↑,
84', Bartlow E. ↓, Schmitt T. ↑,
84', Kowalczyk S. ↓, Blessing L. ↑,
88', Acosta K. ↓, Pineda M. ↑,
90', Artur ↓, Segal G. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Chicago won 2.
Chicago is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Houston is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Chicago will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Chicago: Gutman A.
(Injury)
Teran C.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Houston: Herrera H.
(Injury)
Quinones N.
(Injury)
Last 15 head-to-head matches Chicago won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19-23.
Including matches at home between the teams Chicago won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-12.
Watch
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Brady C. (G) 
Souquet A. 
Salquist T. 
Czichos R. 
Arigoni A. 
Cuypers H. 
Escobar F. 
Gregus J. 
Artur 
Carrasquilla A. 
Kowalczyk S. 
Ibrahim A. 
Bassi A. 
Gimenez G. 
Koutsias G. 
Blessing L. 
Smith B. 
Sylla O. 
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