Match Info

MLS

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Soldier Field (Chicago, IL)

Referee: De Oliveira M. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	Chicago Fire		Nashville SC

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.85	Watch
	2.58	3.2	2.88	Watch
	2.61	3.24	2.98
	2.49	3.24	2.93	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.7
	2.59	3.21	3.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.37)	3.22 ↓ (3.22)	2.89 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chicago Fire
37.7%

Draw
29.5%

Nashville SC
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

29.6%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

29.6%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chicago Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	71.4%	28.6%

Chicago Fire - Nashville SC Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Nashville will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brady C. (G) 15. Gutman A. 16. Waterman J. 4. Mbokazi M. 2. Barroso L. 17. Lod R. 42. D'Avilla D. 6. Saletros A. 11. Zinckernagel P. 7. Haile-Selassie M. 19. Bamba J.	99. Schwake B. (G) 31. Najar A. 4. Palacios J. 3. Woledzi M. 2. Lovitz D. 16. Corcoran M. 19. Muyl A. 20. Tagseth E. 9. Surridge S. 10. Mukhtar H. (C) 7. Espinoza C.
Substitutes
44. Cohen J. (G) 38. Cupps C. 24. Dean J. 12. Dithejane P. 3. Elliott J. 35. Oregel S. 22. Pineda M. 14. Radojevic V. 20. Shokalook J.	6. Acosta B. 27. Baker-Whiting R. 22. Bauer J. 41. Madrigal W. 5. Maher J. 17. Pacius W. 37. Qasem A. 1. Willis J. (G) 8. Yazbek P.
Coaches
Berhalter G.	Callaghan B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Zinckernagel P. ⚽, Bamba J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Muyl A. ↓, Madrigal W. ↑,
61', Corcoran M. ↓, Yazbek P. ↑,
62', Elliott J. ↓, Cupps C. ↑,
72', Saletros A. 🟨,
78', D'Avilla D. 🟨,
78', Espinoza C. ↓, Qasem A. ↑,
78', Lovitz D. ↓, Baker-Whiting R. ↑,
80', Tagseth E. 🟨,
81', Haile-Selassie M. ↓, Shokalook J. ↑,
89', Tagseth E. ↓, Pacius W. ↑,
90+1', Zinckernagel P. ↓, Radojevic V. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 1.

In recent matches, Chicago has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nashville is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Chicago: Franco A. (Knee Injury) Mueller C. (Lower-Body Injury) Rogers S. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Nashville: Applewhite C. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Chicago: Elliott J. (Illness) Zinckernagel P. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:22. (average 0.5:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Chicago Fire - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 40.15%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chicago Fire
MLS
21.03.26	Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Chicago Fire - DC United	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Columbus Crew - Chicago Fire	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Chicago Fire - CF Montréal	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Houston Dynamo - Chicago Fire	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLTWL
- Nashville SC
MLS
21.03.26	Nashville SC - Orlando City	5:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
18.03.26	Inter Miami - Nashville SC	1:1 ✺
MLS
14.03.26	Columbus Crew - Nashville SC	0:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
11.03.26	Nashville SC - Inter Miami	0:0 ✺
MLS
07.03.26	Nashville SC - Minnesota United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
14.06.25	Chicago Fire - Nashville SC	0:2
26.04.25	Nashville SC - Chicago Fire	7:2
19.10.24	Chicago Fire - Nashville SC	0:3
18.09.24	Nashville SC - Chicago Fire	1:0
08.07.23	Chicago Fire - Nashville SC	1:0
06.05.23	Nashville SC - Chicago Fire	3:0
26.09.21	Chicago Fire - Nashville SC	0:0

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