The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Philadelphia Union 38.7%
Draw 29.1%
Chicago Fire 32.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.2%
31%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.8%
32.3%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
25%
12.5%
Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Chicago will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. Blake A. (G) 39. Westfield F. 29. Makhanya O. 26. Harriel N. 20. Ndinga P. 11. Bedoya A. (C) 21. Jean Jacques D. 8. Bueno J. 6. Sullivan C. 10. Iloski M. 9. Damiani B.
1. Brady C. (G) 2. Barroso L. 16. Waterman J. 4. Mbokazi M. 15. Gutman A. 6. Saletros A. (C) 42. D'Avilla D. 11. Zinckernagel P. 17. Lod R. 19. Bamba J. 9. Cuypers H.
Substitutes
16. Bender B. 51. Jakupovic M. 37. Korzeniowski S. 4. Lukic J. 2. Martinez G. 14. Rafanello J. 76. Rick A. (G) 5. Sery Larsen J. 19. Vassilev I.
24. Dean J. 12. Dithejane P. 25. Gal J. (G) 7. Haile-Selassie M. 35. Oregel S. 22. Pineda M. 14. Radojevic V. 20. Shokalook J.
Coaches
Carnell B.
Berhalter G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Lod R. 🟨,
23', D'Avilla D. 🟨,
31', Zinckernagel P. ↓, Haile-Selassie M. ↑,
37', Ndinga P. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Cuypers H. ⚽, Gutman A. (A),
45+7', 1 - 1, Iloski M. ⚽, Bedoya A. (A), Westfield F. (A2)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bueno J. ↓, Lukic J. ↑,
46', Gutman A. ↓, Radojevic V. ↑,
58', 1 - 2, Bamba J. ⚽,
62', Sullivan C. ↓, Jakupovic M. ↑,
62', Bedoya A. ↓, Vassilev I. ↑,
66', Jean Jacques D. ↓, Rafanello J. ↑,
76', Ndinga P. ↓, Bender B. ↑,
87', Radojevic V. 🟨,
89', Lod R. ↓, Shokalook J. ↑,
89', Bamba J. ↓, Dean J. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 4.
Philadelphia has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Chicago has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Philadelphia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Philadelphia: Davis III E.
(Thigh Injury)
Sullivan Q.
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in Chicago: Franco A.
(Knee Injury)
Gutman A.
(Inactive)
Rogers S.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Chicago: Mueller C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 45:26. (average 2.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:8. (average 2.5:0.8).
Outrights of MLS for now
Chicago Fire: 5.37% Philadelphia Union: 2.36%
Last Results with these Odds
Philadelphia Union - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 39.15%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Blake A. (G) 
Westfield F. 
Makhanya O. 
Ndinga P. 
Jean Jacques D. 
Bueno J. 
Damiani B. 
Barroso L. 
Waterman J. 
Saletros A. (C) 
D'Avilla D. 
Zinckernagel P. 
Lod R. 
Cuypers H. 
Lukic J. 
Martinez G. 
Haile-Selassie M. 
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