Match Info

MLS

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, TX)

Referee: Dujic F. (Can)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	Houston Dynamo		Chicago Fire

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.5	2.85	Watch
	2.38	3.55	2.88	Watch
	2.38	3.65	2.87
	2.34	3.61	2.88	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.75
	2.4	3.6	2.97	Watch
	2.3	3.6	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.52)	3.54 ↓ (3.57)	2.86 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Dynamo
40.3%

Draw
26.7%

Chicago Fire
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

26.5%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Chicago Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	41.7%	8.3%

Houston Dynamo - Chicago Fire Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Chicago will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Houston: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Chicago (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Chicago (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bond J. (G) 14. Holmes D. 3. Antonio Carlos 28. Sviatchenko E. 5. Lucas Halter 8. McGlynn J. 30. Bouzat A. 11. Ennali L. 19. Bogusz M. 10. Ponce E. 20. Guilherme	1. Brady C. (G) 2. Barroso L. 5. Rogers S. 16. Waterman J. 4. Mbokazi M. 7. Haile-Selassie M. 17. Lod R. 42. D'Avilla D. 6. Saletros A. 11. Zinckernagel P. 9. Cuypers H.
Substitutes
22. Arana M. 26. Gillingham B. (G) 16. Herrera H. 9. Lingr O. 17. Markanich N. 1. Maurer J. (G) 21. Negri F. 34. Resch A. 18. Samassekou D.	44. Cohen J. (G) 38. Cupps C. 12. Dithejane P. 8. Mueller C. 35. Oregel S. 22. Pineda M. 29. Poreba D. 20. Shokalook J.
Coaches
Olsen B.	Berhalter G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Holmes D. 🟨,
26', Waterman J. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Cuypers H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
67', 1 - 1, Guilherme ⚽, McGlynn J. (A), Ponce E. (A2)
75', Lucas Halter 🟨,
76', Lod R. ↓, Mueller C. ↑,
76', Rogers S. ↓, Cupps C. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Guilherme ⚽,
79', Holmes D. ↓, Lingr O. ↑,
84', Mueller C. 🟨,
85', Sviatchenko E. 🟨,
87', McGlynn J. ↓, Samassekou D. ↑,
87', Guilherme ↓, Negri F. ↑,
88', D'Avilla D. ↓, Oregel S. ↑,
88', Mbokazi M. ↓, Dithejane P. ↑,
90+3', Ennali L. ↓, Markanich N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 2.

Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Houston won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.4:0.5).

Outrights of MLS for now

Chicago Fire: 5.37% Houston Dynamo: 4.57%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Dynamo
MLS
18.10.25	Sporting Kansas City - Houston Dynamo	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Houston Dynamo - San Diego	2:4 ✺
27.09.25	Nashville SC - Houston Dynamo	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Houston Dynamo - Portland Timbers	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Colorado Rapids - Houston Dynamo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLWL
- Chicago Fire
Club Friendly
14.02.26	Chicago Fire - Portland Timbers	3:4 ✺
08.02.26	Los Angeles Galaxy - Chicago Fire	2:3 ✺
MLS
01.11.25	Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union	0:3 ✺
26.10.25	Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire	3:2 penalties ✺
22.10.25	Chicago Fire - Orlando City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
06.04.24	Chicago Fire - Houston Dynamo	2:1
US Open Cup
06.06.23	Chicago Fire - Houston Dynamo	1:4
MLS
25.06.22	Houston Dynamo - Chicago Fire	2:0
23.09.20	Chicago Fire - Houston Dynamo	4:0
03.08.19	Houston Dynamo - Chicago Fire	0:1
20.05.18	Chicago Fire - Houston Dynamo	2:3
22.10.17	Houston Dynamo - Chicago Fire	3:0

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