Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Soldier Field (Chicago, IL)

Referee: De Oliveira M. (Usa)


	Chicago Fire		Real Salt Lake

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	3.25	Watch
	2.15	3.5	3.1
	2.2	3.6	3.25	Watch
	2.18	3.75	3.33
	2.16	3.77	3.28
	2.15	3.5	3.1
	2.17	3.54	3.25	Watch
	2.14	3.55	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.36)	3.6 ↑ (3.46)	3.22 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chicago Fire
44.1%

Draw
26.4%

Real Salt Lake
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

27.1%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

27.9%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Real Salt Lake has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Chicago Fire - Real Salt Lake Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Salt Lake will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Brady C. (G) 2. Souquet A. 4. Teran C. 5. Czichos R. 27. Arigoni A. 23. Acosta K. 21. Herbers F. 8. Mueller C. 10. Shaqiri X. (C) 17. Gutierrez B. 9. Cuypers H.	35. Beavers G. (G) 2. Brody A. 19. Joffre S. 3. Oviedo B. 98. Katranis A. 14. Eneli E. 6. Ojeda B. 11. Gomez C. A. 25. Crooks M. 17. Barajas F. 9. Arango C. (C)
Substitutes
12. Barlow T. 24. Dean J. 30. Gimenez G. 15. Gutman A. 19. Koutsias G. 31. Navarro F. 16. Omsberg W. 22. Pineda M. 18. Richey S. (G)	16. Chang M. 72. Gozo Z. 29. Julio Santos A. A. 8. Luna D. 18. MacMath Z. (G) 13. Palacio N. 26. Quinton P. 42. Weston Storlie K.
Coaches
Klopas F.	Mastroeni P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
15', Acosta K. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Gomez C. A. ⚽, Katranis A. (A), Arango C. (A2)
28', Shaqiri X. ↓, Koutsias G. ↑,
31', Gomez C. A. 🟨,
33', 0 - 2, Arango C. ⚽,
37', 0 - 3, Arango C. ⚽, Oviedo B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Navarro F. ↓, Gimenez G. ↑,
56', Gomez C. A. ↓, Luna D. ↑,
60', Gimenez G. ↓, Barlow T. ↑,
73', Ojeda B. ↓, Palacio N. ↑,
74', Katranis A. ↓, Quinton P. ↑,
82', Barajas F. ↓, Chang M. ↑,
82', Crooks M. ↓, Julio Santos A. A. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 4, Luna D. ⚽, Arango C. (A),

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chicago won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Chicago will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Chicago: Gasper C. (Injury) Gutman A. (Injury)

There will not play in Salt Lake: Bonilla J. (Injury) Holt E. (Injury) Ruiz P. (Injury) Silva M. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Chicago won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Chicago won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chicago Fire
MLS
13.04.24	New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Chicago Fire - Houston Dynamo	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Atlanta United - Chicago Fire	3:0 ✺
23.03.24	New England Revolution - Chicago Fire	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Chicago Fire - CF Montréal	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWLTW
- Real Salt Lake
MLS
13.04.24	Real Salt Lake - Columbus Crew	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Minnesota United - Real Salt Lake	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Real Salt Lake - St. Louis City	3:1 ✺
23.03.24	Vancouver Whitecaps - Real Salt Lake	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Real Salt Lake - Colorado Rapids	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
23.10.21	Chicago Fire - Real Salt Lake	1:0
22.06.19	Chicago Fire - Real Salt Lake	1:1
04.08.18	Real Salt Lake - Chicago Fire	2:1
11.03.17	Chicago Fire - Real Salt Lake	2:0
06.08.16	Real Salt Lake - Chicago Fire	3:1
09.05.15	Chicago Fire - Real Salt Lake	1:2
03.05.14	Chicago Fire - Real Salt Lake	2:3

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