Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 11

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday


	Aveley		Chichester City

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.25	5.7
	1.42	4.67	6.02
	1.42	4.67	5.85	Watch
	1.4	4.2	5.75
	1.4	4.4	6.24
	1.44	4.33	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.59)	4.42 ↑ (4.31)	5.93 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
64.1%

Draw
20.6%

Chichester City
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

21.4%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

20%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aveley's performance.

Chichester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chichester City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chichester City than the current prediction. (+4%)

Aveley - Chichester City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aveley (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
21', 1 - 0, Hubbard F. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Djemaili M. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Wild J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 2 - 2, Johnson M. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Aveley is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Chichester's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Aveley is the team to beat.

We predict that Aveley will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aveley won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Aveley: 2.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Aveley	10	3	1	6	17:18	-1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.02.26	Lewes - Aveley	1:6 ✺
07.02.26	Aveley - Dulwich Hamlet	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Chichester City - Aveley	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Aveley - Cray Valley Paper Mills	3:0 ✺
19.01.26	Aveley - Welling United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWW
- Chichester City
English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.02.26	Billericay Town - Chichester City	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Chatham Town - Chichester City	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Chichester City - Aveley	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Cheshunt - Chichester City	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Chichester City - Wingate & Finchley	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
31.01.26	Chichester City - Aveley	0:1

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