Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Canvey Island		Welling United

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.6	2.32
	2.51	3.88	2.32	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.5
	2.5	3.58	2.31
	2.54	3.8	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.45)	3.65 ↑ (3.58)	2.35 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canvey Island
36.5%

Draw
24.9%

Welling United
38.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25.7%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

25.4%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canvey Island has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Welling United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canvey Island than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Canvey Island - Welling United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+5', 0 - 1, Howard T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', 1 - 1, Steward B. ⚽,
78', 1 - 2, Reynolds J. ⚽,
85', 1 - 3, Ufuah J. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent form of Canvey Island has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Welling has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Canvey Island won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Welling	14	10	0	4	27:15	12	30

Last Results with these Odds

Canvey Island - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.53%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Welling United - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.78%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canvey Island
English Isthmian League Premier Division
10.01.26	Canvey Island - Lewes	0:1 ✺
02.01.26	Aveley - Canvey Island	3:1 ✺
27.12.25	Canvey Island - Billericay Town	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Folkestone Invicta - Canvey Island	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Hashtag United - Canvey Island	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWLL
- Welling United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
10.01.26	Welling United - Wingate & Finchley	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Welling United - Brentwood Town	1:4 ✺
20.12.25	Lewes - Welling United	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Whitehawk - Welling United	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Welling United - Cheshunt	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
20.09.25	Welling United - Canvey Island	4:1

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