Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 22

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Badgers Sports Ground (Eltham)


	Cray Valley Paper Mills		Wingate & Finchley

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.5	2.88
	2.06	3.85	2.95
	2.05	3.86	2.93	Watch
	2.05	3.5	2.8
	2.1	3.54	2.92
	2.08	3.6	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.46)	3.64 ↑ (3.54)	2.91 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cray Valley Paper Mills
43.9%

Draw
24.9%

Wingate & Finchley
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

25.6%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

25%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cray Valley Paper Mills has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cray Valley Paper Mills's performance.

Wingate & Finchley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wingate & Finchley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cray Valley Paper Mills than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cray Valley Paper Mills that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wingate & Finchley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cray Valley Paper Mills - Wingate & Finchley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Liburd R. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
50', 2 - 0, Shomotun F. ⚽,
89', 3 - 0, Tumkaya A. ⚽,
90', 4 - 0, Moore L. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 1, Jambang A. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 13).

Cray Valley PM is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wingate & Finchley has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Cray Valley PM has had a series of away games.

Recently, Wingate & Finchley has had a series of home games.

Cray Valley PM could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cray Valley PM won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Cray Valley PM won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Cray Valley Paper Mills - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.01%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Wingate & Finchley - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.35%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cray Valley Paper Mills
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.12.25	Chichester City - Cray Valley Paper Mills	0:3 ✺
29.11.25	Carshalton Athletic - Cray Valley Paper Mills	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Dartford	1:1 ✺
18.11.25	Dulwich Hamlet - Cray Valley Paper Mills	1:3 ✺
11.11.25	Burgess Hill Town - Cray Valley Paper Mills	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWTWL
- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.12.25	Wingate & Finchley - Carshalton Athletic	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Wingate & Finchley - Billericay Town	2:2 ✺
25.11.25	Wingate & Finchley - Folkestone Invicta	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Aveley - Wingate & Finchley	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Wingate & Finchley - Lewes	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
29.03.25	Wingate & Finchley - Cray Valley Paper Mills	0:2
14.12.24	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Wingate & Finchley	5:3

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