Match Info

Date: 4 January 2021, Monday


	Virtus Entella		Cittadella

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.8	3.2	2.05
	3.9	3.1	2.05	Watch
	3.6	3.1	2.07
	3.96	3.29	2.12
	3.8	3.1	2.1
	3.82	3.25	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↓ (4.24)	3.16 ↓ (3.35)	2.08 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Entella
24.8%

Draw
29.8%

Cittadella
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

28.5%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

23.8%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Entella that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cittadella could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	25%	60%

Virtus Entella - Cittadella Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 6 - 15%). Cittadella will win (votes: 24 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cittadella: 44.8% – 75.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Semitofinals)).

Virtus Entella has a good chance of relegated (63%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Cittadella has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (54%), has a chance of promoted (45%), has a chance of win league (18%).

Recent matches Virtus Entella is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cittadella in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Virtus Entella could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Cittadella have a series of home games.

Cittadella will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Virtus Entella won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Entella won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B
30.12.20	Vicenza Virtus - Virtus Entella	0:1 ✺
27.12.20	Virtus Entella - Pescara	3:0 ✺
21.12.20	Salernitana - Virtus Entella	2:1 ✺
18.12.20	Virtus Entella - Pordenone	0:1 ✺
15.12.20	Monza - Virtus Entella	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLLL
- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
30.12.20	Cittadella - Lecce	2:2 ✺
22.12.20	Cittadella - Frosinone	1:0 ✺
19.12.20	Reggina - Cittadella	1:3 ✺
15.12.20	Cittadella - Vicenza Virtus	3:0 ✺
12.12.20	Cittadella - SPAL	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
31.07.20	Virtus Entella - Cittadella	2:3
29.12.19	Cittadella - Virtus Entella	1:3
27.02.18	Virtus Entella - Cittadella	0:1
30.09.17	Cittadella - Virtus Entella	0:1
18.05.17	Virtus Entella - Cittadella	4:1
30.12.16	Cittadella - Virtus Entella	2:1
09.03.15	Virtus Entella - Cittadella	2:1

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