Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 27

Date: 28 February 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice)

Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)


	Venezia		Cittadella

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.77	3.5	4.5
	1.75	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.76	3.65	5.3
	1.74	3.7	5.43
	1.81	3.68	4.39	Watch
	1.77	3.55	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.86)	3.63 ↑ (3.58)	4.75 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
53.9%

Draw
26.2%

Cittadella
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

26.3%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

26%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	2.8%	5.6%

Venezia - Cittadella Predictions

Users Predictions: Venezia will win (33 of 36 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.64% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joronen J. (G) 4. Idzes J. 30. Svoboda M. 15. Altare G. 27. Candela A. 8. Tessmann T. 38. Andersen M. K. 6. Busio G. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 20. Pohjanpalo J. 9. Gytkjaer C.	36. Kastrati E. (G) 28. Rizza A. 30. Negro S. 15. Frare D. (C) 24. Carissoni L. 18. Tessiore A. 5. Mastrantonio V. 8. Amatucci F. 10. Cassano C. 9. Magrassi A. 11. Pittarello F.
Substitutes
19. Bjarkason B. 12. Bruno (G) 60. Busato L. 21. Cheryshev D. 25. Dembele A. 23. Grandi M. (G) 18. Jajalo M. 13. Modolo M. 99. Olivieri M. 10. Pierini N. 31. Ullmann M.	4. Angeli M. 92. Baldini E. 20. Carriero G. 64. Cecchetto A. 29. Djibril A. 98. Giraudo F. 32. Maistrello T. 77. Maniero L. (G) 7. Pandolfi L. 2. Salvi A. 6. Sottini E.
Coaches
Vanoli P.	Gorini E.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Venezia won 1.

Venezia is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cittadella has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Venezia is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Venezia won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Venezia won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
24.02.24	Pisa - Venezia	1:2 ✺
18.02.24	Venezia - Modena	2:2 ✺
10.02.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Venezia	0:3 ✺
03.02.24	Parma - Venezia	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Venezia - Ternana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTWLW
- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
24.02.24	Cittadella - Catanzaro	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Spezia - Cittadella	4:2 ✺
10.02.24	Cittadella - Parma	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Brescia - Cittadella	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	Cittadella - Sampdoria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
03.09.23	Cittadella - Venezia	0:0
28.01.23	Venezia - Cittadella	1:1
28.08.22	Cittadella - Venezia	1:1
27.05.21	Venezia - Cittadella	1:1
23.05.21	Cittadella - Venezia	0:1
10.05.21	Cittadella - Venezia	1:1
23.01.21	Venezia - Cittadella	1:0

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