Match Info

Date: 15 January 2021, Friday


	Chievo		Virtus Entella

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.4	6.5	Watch
	1.62	3.6	6.25
	1.62	3.45	6.5	Watch
	1.61	3.35	5.8
	1.64	3.68	6.68
	1.62	3.5	6.5
	1.64	3.8	5.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 (1.62)	3.54 ↑ (3.51)	6.27 ↑ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chievo
58.2%

Draw
26.7%

Virtus Entella
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

26.8%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

17.1%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chievo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Virtus Entella have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (-21.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chievo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Entella could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	16%	24%

Chievo - Virtus Entella Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Chievo will win (votes: 15 - 60%). Virtus Entella will win (votes: 6 - 24%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chievo: 40.8% – 79.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Chievo has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (59%), has a chance of promoted (28%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Virtus Entella has a good chance of relegated (56%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Chievo is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chievo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Chievo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Chievo
Italian Serie B
04.01.21	Cremonese - Chievo	0:2 ✺
30.12.20	Chievo - Venezia	1:1 ✺
22.12.20	Pisa - Chievo	2:2 ✺
19.12.20	Chievo - Empoli	1:1 ✺
15.12.20	SPAL - Chievo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTTTT
- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B
04.01.21	Virtus Entella - Cittadella	1:0 ✺
30.12.20	Vicenza Virtus - Virtus Entella	0:1 ✺
27.12.20	Virtus Entella - Pescara	3:0 ✺
21.12.20	Salernitana - Virtus Entella	2:1 ✺
18.12.20	Virtus Entella - Pordenone	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
03.07.20	Virtus Entella - Chievo	1:1
25.11.19	Chievo - Virtus Entella	2:1
Coppa Italia
13.08.16	Chievo - Virtus Entella	3:0

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