Match Info

Date: 27 November 2020, Friday


	Chievo		Lecce

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.65
	2.85	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.7	3	2.6
	2.78	3.27	2.76
	2.7	3.1	2.75
	2.83	3.02	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.68)	3.13 ↑ (3.05)	2.65 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chievo
34.1%

Draw
30.2%

Lecce
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

30.8%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

22.4%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chievo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chievo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lecce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	40%	26.7%

Chievo - Lecce Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Chievo will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%). Lecce will win (votes: 8 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 22.5% – 57.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Quartertofinals) and 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Semitofinals)).

Chievo has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (52%), has a chance of promoted (29%), has a small chance of win league (10%).

Lecce has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (51%), has a chance of promoted (39%), has a chance of win league (16%).

Chievo in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lecce is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chievo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chievo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Chievo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Chievo
Italian Serie B
07.11.20	Pordenone - Chievo	1:1 ✺
31.10.20	Chievo - Nuova Cosenza	2:0 ✺
24.10.20	Monza - Chievo	1:2 ✺
20.10.20	Chievo - Brescia	1:0 ✺
17.10.20	Reggiana - Chievo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 TWWWW
- US Lecce
Italian Serie B
21.11.20	Lecce - Reggiana	7:1 ✺
08.11.20	Virtus Entella - Lecce	1:5 ✺
02.11.20	Lecce - Pescara	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
28.10.20	Torino - Lecce	3:1 ET ✺
Italian Serie B
25.10.20	Nuova Cosenza - Lecce	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
13.05.12	Chievo - Lecce	1:0

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