Match Info

Date: 21 November 2020, Saturday


	Lecce		Reggiana

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	7	Watch
	1.5	4	7
	1.48	4.1	6.75	Watch
	1.47	4.1	6.2
	1.5	4.29	7.54
	1.57	3.6	7
	1.5	4.33	6.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.56)	4.11 ↑ (3.78)	6.86 ↑ (6.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecce
63.2%

Draw
23%

Reggiana
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

24.9%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

14.6%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-27.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lecce that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reggiana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Lecce - Reggiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). Reggiana will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lecce: 18.1% – 56.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Quartertofinals) and 14).

Lecce has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (51%), has a chance of promoted (34%), has a small chance of win league (12%).

Reggiana has a chance of relegated (36%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (14%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Lecce is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lecce won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Lecce won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Lecce
Italian Serie B
08.11.20	Virtus Entella - Lecce	1:5 ✺
02.11.20	Lecce - Pescara	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
28.10.20	Torino - Lecce	3:1 ET ✺
Italian Serie B
25.10.20	Nuova Cosenza - Lecce	1:1 ✺
21.10.20	Lecce - Cremonese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLTT
- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
08.11.20	Reggiana - Venezia	2:1 ✺
20.10.20	Ascoli - Reggiana	2:1 ✺
17.10.20	Reggiana - Chievo	0:1 ✺
03.10.20	Virtus Entella - Reggiana	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
30.09.20	Reggiana - Monopoli	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega Pro C1/A
14.04.13	Reggiana - Lecce	0:2
25.11.12	Lecce - Reggiana	2:1

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