Match Info

Date: 31 October 2020, Saturday


	Chievo		Nuova Cosenza

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	7	Watch
	1.65	3.5	6.5
	1.67	3.55	5.5	Watch
	1.62	3.4	5.6
	1.65	3.77	6.31
	1.7	3.5	5.25
	1.67	3.72	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.7)	3.56 ↑ (3.51)	5.96 ↑ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chievo
57.4%

Draw
26.6%

Nuova Cosenza
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

26.9%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

21.8%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chievo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chievo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.3%	22.2%	18.5%

Chievo - Nuova Cosenza Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Chievo will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). Cosenza will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chievo: 40.8% – 77.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Chievo has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (47%), has a chance of promoted (26%), has a small chance of win league (9%).

Cosenza has a chance of relegated (33%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (15%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Cosenza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chievo is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Chievo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Chievo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Chievo
Italian Serie B
24.10.20	Monza - Chievo	1:2 ✺
20.10.20	Chievo - Brescia	1:0 ✺
17.10.20	Reggiana - Chievo	0:1 ✺
03.10.20	Chievo - Salernitana	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
30.09.20	Chievo - Catanzaro	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWLL
- Nuova Cosenza
Coppa Italia
28.10.20	Nuova Cosenza - Monopoli	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
25.10.20	Nuova Cosenza - Lecce	1:1 ✺
20.10.20	Reggina - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
17.10.20	Nuova Cosenza - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
03.10.20	SPAL - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
09.03.20	Chievo - Nuova Cosenza	2:0
26.10.19	Nuova Cosenza - Chievo	1:1

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