Match Info

Date: 15 March 2022, Tuesday


	Nuova Cosenza		Lecce

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.6	1.66	Watch
	5	3.6	1.68
	5.5	3.6	1.66	Watch
	5.2	3.35	1.67
	5.95	3.59	1.71
	4.6	3.25	1.83
	5.65	3.65	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.31 ↑ (4.3)	3.52 ↑ (3.4)	1.7 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
17.7%

Draw
26.8%

Lecce
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

27.6%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

21.3%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lecce could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nuova Cosenza - Lecce Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Cosenza has the most likely position - 17 (38.08%), has project points - 31, has currently - 23, has a good chance of relegated (76%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Lecce has the most likely position - 1 (29.89%), has project points - 70, has currently - 54, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (47%), has a good chance of promoted (64%), has a chance of win league (30%).

This event has small quality 25, big importance 79, match rating 52. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 0.

Cosenza is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lecce is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lecce could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Cosenza have a series of guest games.

In this match Lecce is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 15-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Cosenza won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
12.03.22	Ternana - Nuova Cosenza	2:0 ✺
02.03.22	Frosinone - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
26.02.22	Nuova Cosenza - Alessandria	2:1 ✺
23.02.22	Crotone - Nuova Cosenza	3:3 ✺
20.02.22	Como - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWTL
- US Lecce
Italian Serie B
12.03.22	Lecce - Brescia	1:1 ✺
06.03.22	Perugia - Lecce	1:1 ✺
02.03.22	Lecce - Ascoli	3:1 ✺
27.02.22	Monza - Lecce	0:1 ✺
23.02.22	Lecce - Cittadella	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
01.11.21	Lecce - Nuova Cosenza	3:1
21.02.21	Lecce - Nuova Cosenza	3:1
25.10.20	Nuova Cosenza - Lecce	1:1
Club Friendly
07.09.19	Lecce - Nuova Cosenza	2:1
Italian Serie B
03.04.19	Lecce - Nuova Cosenza	3:1
10.11.18	Nuova Cosenza - Lecce	2:3
Italian Serie C Group C
19.03.18	Nuova Cosenza - Lecce	0:1

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