Match Info

Date: 24 October 2020, Saturday


	Monza		Chievo

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.9	Watch
	1.91	3.3	4.25
	1.95	3.2	4.25	Watch
	2.04	3.05	3.75
	2.1	3.27	4.06
	2.05	3	4.2
	2.02	3.22	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.89)	3.18 ↓ (3.19)	4.07 ↓ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monza
47.1%

Draw
29.7%

Chievo
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

29.5%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

18.4%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Chievo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chievo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.7%	31%	17.2%

Monza - Chievo Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 15 - 51.7%). Chievo will win (votes: 5 - 17.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 31%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monza: 33.5% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Monza has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (42%), has a good chance of promoted (54%), has a chance of win league (26%).

Chievo has a small chance of relegated (9%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (41%), has a chance of promoted (17%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Monza is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Chievo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Monza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Monza is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie B
20.10.20	Pisa - Monza	1:1 ✺
03.10.20	Empoli - Monza	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
29.09.20	Monza - Triestina	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie B
25.09.20	Monza - SPAL	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.09.20	Monza - Alessandria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTWTW
- AC Chievo
Italian Serie B
20.10.20	Chievo - Brescia	1:0 ✺
17.10.20	Reggiana - Chievo	0:1 ✺
03.10.20	Chievo - Salernitana	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
30.09.20	Chievo - Catanzaro	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie B
26.09.20	Pescara - Chievo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLLT

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