Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 20

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday

Location: Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio


	Nuova Cosenza		Monopoli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.3	4.5
	1.7	3.45	4.75
	1.66	3.57	4.88	Watch
	1.73	3.1	4.4
	1.75	3.47	4.73	Watch
	1.7	3.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.63)	3.38 ↓ (3.39)	4.71 ↓ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
53.6%

Draw
27%

Monopoli
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

26.9%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

25.8%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Monopoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.5%	10.5%	0%

Nuova Cosenza - Monopoli Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nuova Cosenza will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nuova Cosenza will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vettorel T. (G) 7. Cannavo K. 26. Dametto P. 6. Dalle Mura C. 33. Ferrara A. 28. Kouan C. 77. Langella C. 10. Garritano L. (C) 34. Florenzi A. 16. Ricciardi M. 9. Beretta G.	1. Albertazzi M. (G) 77. Viteritti O. 6. Miceli M. 5. Angileri A. 16. Valenti B. 19. Calcagni R. 8. Battocchio C. 15. Greco J. 99. Imputato A. 9. Longo S. 17. Tirelli M.
Substitutes
23. Achour S. 45. Ciotti P. 19. Contiliano N. 11. D'Orazio T. 99. Emmausso M. 71. Mazzulla A. 1. Pompei T. (G) 21. Ragone D. 32. Rocco A. 44. Silvestri T.	37. Bordo L. 20. Cascella R. 14. Dudic D. 11. Fall M. 24. Gagliano M. (G) 31. Oyewale S. 18. Paukstys S. 22. Piana E. (G) 35. Piccinini S. 34. Ronco D. 33. Rossi D. 21. Scipioni E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', Longo S. ↓, Scipioni E. ↑,
61', Calcagni R. ↓, Fall M. ↑,
63', Garritano L. ↓, Achour S. ↑,
63', Florenzi A. ↓, Ciotti P. ↑,
63', Florenzi A. ↓, Ciotti P. ↑,
72', 0 - 1, Fall M. ⚽,
74', Imputato A. ↓, Oyewale S. ↑,
78', Miceli M. 🟨,
80', Langella C. 🟨,
85', Ferrara A. ↓, D'Orazio T. ↑,
90+2', Greco J. ↓, Bordo L. ↑,
90+2', Tirelli M. ↓, Dudic D. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 2, Dudic D. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cosenza won 1.

Cosenza is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Monopoli has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Cosenza is considered a favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cosenza won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cosenza won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Monopoli	8	3	3	2	6:4	2	12
19	Cosenza	8	0	2	6	5:18	-13	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie C Group C
19.12.25	Nuova Cosenza - Cavese	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Trapani - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Nuova Cosenza - Picerno	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Foggia - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Nuova Cosenza - Benevento	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTWLW
- SS Monopoli 1966
Italian Serie C Group C
21.12.25	Monopoli - Potenza	2:1 ✺
15.12.25	Foggia - Monopoli	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Monopoli - Atalanta U23	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Trapani - Monopoli	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Monopoli - Picerno	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
24.08.25	Monopoli - Nuova Cosenza	2:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.25	Monopoli - Nuova Cosenza	1:0
Coppa Italia
28.10.20	Nuova Cosenza - Monopoli	2:1
11.08.19	Monopoli - Nuova Cosenza	1:0
Club Friendly
30.07.19	Nuova Cosenza - Monopoli	1:5
Italian Serie C Group C
23.12.17	Nuova Cosenza - Monopoli	2:0
26.08.17	Monopoli - Nuova Cosenza	3:1

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