Match Info

National League South - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Chippenham Town		Ebbsfleet United

	1	X	2
	3.65	3.55	1.85
	3.52	4.1	1.85	Watch
	3.6	3.3	1.95
	3.68	3.58	1.93
	3.5	3.75	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↓ (3.95)	3.66 ↓ (3.81)	1.89 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Chippenham Town
25.7%

Draw
25.3%

Ebbsfleet United
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

24.4%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

23.9%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chippenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Chippenham Town - Ebbsfleet United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chippenham (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
42', 0 - 1, Olagunju M. ⚽,
44', 0 - 2, Samuel D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 0 - 3, Samuel D. ⚽,
90', 0 - 4, Appiah K. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 4, Koszela O. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chippenham won 0.

In recent matches, Chippenham has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ebbsfleet is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Chippenham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ebbsfleet will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chippenham won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Chippenham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Ebbsfleet: 3.01%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Ebbsfleet	6	3	3	0	7:3	4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chippenham Town
English National League South
13.01.26	Chippenham Town - Slough Town	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Worthing - Chippenham Town	2:2 ✺
30.12.25	Totton - Chippenham Town	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Chippenham Town - Bath City	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Weston-super-Mare - Chippenham Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WTTWL
- Ebbsfleet United
English FA Trophy
10.01.26	Ebbsfleet United - Forest Green Rovers	0:2 ✺
English National League South
30.12.25	Dover Athletic - Ebbsfleet United	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	Ebbsfleet United - Tonbridge Angels	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Chelmsford City - Ebbsfleet United	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Ebbsfleet United - Braintree Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
16.08.25	Ebbsfleet United - Chippenham Town	1:0
14.02.23	Chippenham Town - Ebbsfleet United	0:0
06.08.22	Ebbsfleet United - Chippenham Town	3:0
15.05.22	Ebbsfleet United - Chippenham Town	1:0 ET
30.04.22	Ebbsfleet United - Chippenham Town	2:2
28.09.21	Chippenham Town - Ebbsfleet United	2:5
English FA Trophy
15.12.20	Ebbsfleet United - Chippenham Town	2:1 penalties

Upcoming Matches