Match Info

ENGLAND: FA TROPHY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Gloucester City		Braintree Town

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	1.9
	3.25	3.75	1.95
	3.23	3.9	1.96
	3.23	3.9	1.96
	3.1	3.75	1.91
	3.24	3.84	1.95
	3.15	3.85	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (3.16)	3.8 ↑ (3.75)	1.93 (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
28.7%

Draw
24.1%

Braintree Town
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

24.2%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

23.6%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Gloucester City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Braintree Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Gloucester City - Braintree Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Gloucester has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Braintree is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Braintree could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Gloucester have a series of guest games.

Braintree will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Braintree to win the game is with odds 1.94.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Gloucester won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English National League North
14.11.23	Brackley Town - Gloucester City	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Scunthorpe United - Gloucester City	2:0 ✺
04.11.23	Gloucester City - Warrington Town	1:3 ✺
28.10.23	Boston United - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
24.10.23	Tamworth - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Braintree Town
English National League South
14.11.23	Braintree Town - Welling United	4:1 ✺
11.11.23	Eastbourne Borough - Braintree Town	3:1 ✺
07.11.23	Braintree Town - St Albans City	4:0 ✺
04.11.23	Braintree Town - Havant & Waterlooville	4:1 ✺
28.10.23	Yeovil Town - Braintree Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
28.04.18	Braintree Town - Gloucester City	3:0
07.10.17	Gloucester City - Braintree Town	1:3

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