Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 36

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday


	Chippenham Town		St Albans City

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.25	2.37
	2.65	3.63	2.42
	2.68	3.56	2.44
	2.62	3.58	2.33
	2.6	3.25	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (1.69)	3.45 ↓ (3.65)	2.39 ↓ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chippenham Town
34.9%

Draw
26.6%

St Albans City
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

25%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

24.3%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chippenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chippenham Town's form might have worsened.

St Albans City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St Albans City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (+20.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chippenham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St Albans City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chippenham Town - St Albans City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 0 - 1, Dausch A. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 1, Poffley J. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chippenham won 2.

Chippenham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches St Albans is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chippenham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Chippenham won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23:22 (average 1.4:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Chippenham won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:12 (average 1.9:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chippenham Town
English National League South
25.02.25	Slough Town - Chippenham Town	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Chippenham Town - Welling United	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Chippenham Town	1:2 ✺
11.02.25	Chippenham Town - Chesham United	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Chippenham Town	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTWWL
- St Albans City
English National League South
25.02.25	St Albans City - Aveley	3:0 ✺
22.02.25	St Albans City - Boreham Wood	1:3 ✺
17.02.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - St Albans City	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Bath City - St Albans City	0:1 ✺
11.02.25	St Albans City - Slough Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
23.11.24	St Albans City - Chippenham Town	0:2
06.04.24	St Albans City - Chippenham Town	0:1
21.10.23	Chippenham Town - St Albans City	1:2
01.04.23	Chippenham Town - St Albans City	1:1
08.10.22	St Albans City - Chippenham Town	1:1
25.01.22	Chippenham Town - St Albans City	3:1
04.09.21	St Albans City - Chippenham Town	1:1

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