Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 34

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday


	Chippenham Town		Welling United

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.3	3.2
	2	3.68	3.39
	1.97	3.71	3.46	Watch
	1.96	3.48	3.51
	2.01	3.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.76)	3.49 ↓ (3.6)	3.35 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chippenham Town
46.2%

Draw
26.3%

Welling United
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

25.3%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

24.6%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chippenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chippenham Town's form might have worsened.

Welling United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chippenham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Welling United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chippenham Town - Welling United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Kargbo H. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Winfield D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chippenham won 3.

Chippenham is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Welling is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chippenham will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Chippenham won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17:19 (average 1.2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Chippenham won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:10 (average 1.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chippenham Town
English National League South
15.02.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Chippenham Town	1:2 ✺
11.02.25	Chippenham Town - Chesham United	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Chippenham Town	4:2 ✺
01.02.25	Chippenham Town - Aveley	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Boreham Wood - Chippenham Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 WWLWW
- Welling United
English National League South
15.02.25	Welling United - Dorking Wanderers	0:1 ✺
11.02.25	Enfield Town - Welling United	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Welling United - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Weymouth - Welling United	5:1 ✺
25.01.25	Weston-super-Mare - Welling United	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
02.11.24	Welling United - Chippenham Town	0:4
23.03.24	Chippenham Town - Welling United	4:1
28.10.23	Welling United - Chippenham Town	0:0
28.03.23	Chippenham Town - Welling United	3:2
25.02.23	Welling United - Chippenham Town	1:1
12.02.22	Welling United - Chippenham Town	1:0
09.10.21	Chippenham Town - Welling United	1:3

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