Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 23

Date: 17 February 2025, Monday


	Hemel Hempstead Town		St Albans City

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.15	2.5
	2.59	3.27	2.69
	2.61	3.26	2.66	Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.4
	2.54	3.25	2.57
	2.55	3.15	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.26)	3.22 ↓ (3.57)	2.55 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hemel Hempstead Town
35.6%

Draw
28.5%

St Albans City
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

25.8%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

24.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hemel Hempstead Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hemel Hempstead Town's form might have worsened.

St Albans City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hemel Hempstead Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	11.8%	5.9%

Hemel Hempstead Town - St Albans City Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Hemel Hempstead will win (votes: 14 - 87.5%). St Albans will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hemel Hempstead: 71.3% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, Barzey B. ⚽,
66', 1 - 1, Banton Z. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 1, Ogungbo M. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 17 and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hemel Hempstead won 1.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Recently St Albans have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Hemel Hempstead won 5 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 29:30 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Hemel Hempstead won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:14 (average 1.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
15.02.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Maidstone United	0:0 ✺
10.02.25	Chelmsford City - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Chippenham Town	4:2 ✺
03.02.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Boreham Wood	3:4 ✺
01.02.25	Weston-super-Mare - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TTWLT
- St Albans City
English National League South
15.02.25	Bath City - St Albans City	0:1 ✺
11.02.25	St Albans City - Slough Town	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Welling United - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
28.01.25	St Albans City - Tonbridge Angels	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Salisbury - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
01.01.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - St Albans City	2:3
26.12.23	St Albans City - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2
01.01.23	St Albans City - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1
26.12.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - St Albans City	1:3
22.02.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - St Albans City	0:2
02.01.22	St Albans City - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:3
16.02.21	St Albans City - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:1

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