Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 38

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday


	Chippenham Town		Truro City

	1	X	2
	3.95	3.45	1.87
	4.2	3.54	1.83
	4.19	3.52	1.84	Watch
	4	3.3	1.85
	4.12	3.5	1.81
	3.95	3.45	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (3.27)	3.46 ↑ (3.42)	1.85 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chippenham Town
22.8%

Draw
26.8%

Truro City
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

27.1%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

26.8%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chippenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chippenham Town's form might have worsened.

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Truro City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chippenham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Truro City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chippenham Town - Truro City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
52', 0 - 1, Harvey T. ⚽,
54', 0 - 2, Harvey T. ⚽,
61', 0 - 3, Jephcott L. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chippenham won 3.

Recent matches Chippenham is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Truro is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Truro have a series of home games.

In this match Truro is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Chippenham won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:10 (average 1.5:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Chippenham won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:4 (average 1.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chippenham Town
English National League South
08.03.25	Eastbourne Borough - Chippenham Town	4:1 ✺
04.03.25	Chippenham Town - Torquay United	1:3 ✺
01.03.25	Chippenham Town - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
25.02.25	Slough Town - Chippenham Town	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Chippenham Town - Welling United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLTWT
- Truro City
English National League South
08.03.25	Truro City - Welling United	3:2 ✺
04.03.25	Truro City - Boreham Wood	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Chesham United - Truro City	1:4 ✺
25.02.25	Truro City - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Truro City - Slough Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
05.11.24	Truro City - Chippenham Town	1:1
01.04.24	Chippenham Town - Truro City	0:0
30.09.23	Truro City - Chippenham Town	0:2
26.01.19	Chippenham Town - Truro City	2:1
14.08.18	Truro City - Chippenham Town	1:2
14.04.18	Chippenham Town - Truro City	2:0
12.09.17	Truro City - Chippenham Town	1:0

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