Match Info

Jia League - Round 26

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Tongliang Long Stadium (Chongqing)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Chongqing Tongliang Long		Foshan Nanshi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.26	4.95	8.6	Watch
	1.3	5.09	14.43
	1.32	4.47	10.54	Watch
	1.29	5.08	10.2	Watch
	1.11	6.7	16.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↑ (1.12)	5.26 ↓ (6.8)	12.05 ↓ (15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chongqing Tongliang Long
74.5%

Draw
17.8%

Foshan Nanshi
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.8%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chongqing Tongliang Long has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chongqing Tongliang Long's form might have worsened.

Foshan Nanshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Chongqing Tongliang Long - Foshan Nanshi Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Chongqing will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Foshan Nanshi will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Chongqing (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chongqing (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yao Haoyang (G) 38. Ruan Qilong 2. Wang Wenxuan 4. Sadauskas R. 3. Zhang Yingkai 16. Zhang Zhixiong 7. Xiang Yuwang 24. Liu Mingshi 9. Leonardo 26. He Xiaoqiang 40. Carrillo J.	12. Yang Chao (G) 33. Kun L. 5. Zhang Shuai 39. Li Bowen 13. Zhang Xingbo 7. Albarracin N. 18. Ruan Jun 36. Shi Liang 29. Sun Xiaobin 11. Zhong Ziqin 44. Antwi R.
Substitutes
30. Bai Yutao 33. Cheng Yetong 5. Huang X. 22. Ma Yujun 17. Ng Y. H. 20. Osmanjan Abduhelil 21. Song Pan 15. Tong Zhicheng 27. Wu Yongqiang 31. Wu Zitong (G) 23. Zhang Haixuan (G)	9. Chang Feiya 6. Chen Guokang 40. Han Kunda 35. He Mingli 20. Jin Liangkuan 25. Liu Xinyu 32. Wu-Yao Shengxuan (G) 24. Wu Yuchen 26. Yao-hsing Yu 14. Yao Xilong 28. Zhang Zhihao 27. Zheng Junwei
Coaches
Chang Woe-Ryong	Wang Hongwei

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Leonardo ⚽, He Xiaoqiang (A),
45+5', 2 - 0, Xiang Yuwang ⚽, Leonardo (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Zhang Xingbo ↓, He Mingli ↑,
61', Shi Liang 🟨,
72', Zhong Ziqin ↓, Yao-hsing Yu ↑,
72', Ruan Jun ↓, Wu Yuchen ↑,
80', Liu Mingshi ↓, Cheng Yetong ↑,
83', Sun Xiaobin ↓, Liu Xinyu ↑,
87', Xiang Yuwang ↓, Wu Yongqiang ↑,
90+6', Zhang Zhixiong 🟨,
90+7', Carrillo J. ↓, Ng Y. H. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 13).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Foshan Nanshi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chongqing is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chongqing won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Chongqing won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese Jia League
05.10.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Yanbian Longding - Chongqing Tongliang Long	3:0 ✺
21.09.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Guangdong GZ-Power	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Dingnan United - Chongqing Tongliang Long	3:1 ✺
17.08.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Nanjing City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLW
- Foshan Nanshi
Chinese Jia League
04.10.25	Foshan Nanshi - Dalian Kun City	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Foshan Nanshi - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Nanjing City - Foshan Nanshi	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Foshan Nanshi	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Foshan Nanshi - Guangdong GZ-Power	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
31.05.25	Foshan Nanshi - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:1
08.09.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Foshan Nanshi	1:1
21.04.24	Foshan Nanshi - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:4

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