Match Info

FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Ningbo Cixi Stadium (Ningbo)


	Ningbo Professional		Chongqing Tongliang Long

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.75	3.90	1.47
	5.00	3.90	1.53
	6.04	3.80	1.58
	5.42	4.01	1.53	Watch
	5.80	3.80	1.50
	7.05	3.54	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.84 ↓ (8.75)	3.83 ↓ (4.2)	1.52 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ningbo Professional
15.7%

Draw
23.9%

Chongqing Tongliang Long
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.6%

22.1%

67.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1%

17.9%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ningbo Professional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ningbo Professional's performance.

Chongqing Tongliang Long has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chongqing Tongliang Long might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ningbo Professional than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chongqing Tongliang Long, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ningbo Professional - Chongqing Tongliang Long Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Xiang Yuwang ⚽, Bai Yutao (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Liang Weipeng ↓, Cimpanu G. ↑,
49', Bai Yutao ↓, Wu Yongqiang ↑,
52', 0 - 2, Xiang Yuwang ⚽,
57', Zhou Junhao ↓, Qi Xinlei ↑,
57', Men Yang ↓, Solomon-Otabor V. ↑,
57', Bai Jiajun ↓, Su Shihao ↑,
63', Ruan Qilong ↓, Zhang Zhixiong ↑,
70', Zhou Junchen ↓, Pang K. ↑,
70', Shui M. ↓, Liu Yue ↑,
76', Xiang Yuwang ↓, Huang X. ↑,
76', Dimata L. ↓, Du Yuezheng ↑,

Preview

Ningbo Professional is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chongqing has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ningbo Professional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chongqing is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ningbo Professional won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ningbo Professional won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ningbo Professional
Chinese Jia League
13.06.26	Nanjing City - Ningbo Professional	1:2 ✺
29.05.26	Ningbo Professional - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Ningbo Professional - Dalian Kun City	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Shaanxi Union - Ningbo Professional	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Ningbo Professional - Changchun Yatai	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WTWTW
- Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese Super League
30.05.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Beijing Guoan	2:3 ✺
24.05.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:1 ✺
20.05.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Yunnan Yukun	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Shandong Taishan - Chongqing Tongliang Long	3:1 ✺
09.05.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Chongqing Tongliang Long	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
08.11.25	Ningbo Professional - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:2
06.07.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Ningbo Professional	4:0
19.10.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Ningbo Professional	1:1
09.06.24	Ningbo Professional - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:3

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