Match Info

Date: 7 March 2020, Saturday


	Chorley		Chesterfield

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.25	2.4
	2.6	3.2	2.55
	2.88	3.05	2.43
	2.83	3.07	2.44
	2.96	3.13	2.58
	2.75	3.2	2.55
	2.92	3.24	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.68)	3.16 ↓ (3.24)	2.49 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chorley
32.9%

Draw
29.5%

Chesterfield
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

28.8%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

21%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chorley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chesterfield could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chorley - Chesterfield Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chorley
English National League
03.03.20	Chorley - Eastleigh	1:2 ✺
29.02.20	Torquay United - Chorley	2:0 ✺
22.02.20	Chorley - Barnet	0:1 ✺
15.02.20	Ebbsfleet United - Chorley	1:0 ✺
01.02.20	Yeovil Town - Chorley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLLT
- Chesterfield
English National League
03.03.20	Chesterfield - Harrogate Town	3:4 ✺
22.02.20	Chesterfield - Ebbsfleet United	4:0 ✺
08.02.20	Chesterfield - Wrexham	3:2 ✺
01.02.20	Notts County - Chesterfield	3:0 ✺
25.01.20	Chesterfield - Fylde	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
16.11.19	Chesterfield - Chorley	2:3

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