Match Info

Date: 3 March 2020, Tuesday


	Chorley		Eastleigh

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.25
	2.85	3.4	2.25
	3.05	3.25	2.23
	3.03	3.2	2.24
	3.19	3.31	2.33
	3.1	3.25	2.3
	3.1	3.38	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (3.04)	3.31 ↓ (3.33)	2.27 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chorley
30.5%

Draw
28.2%

Eastleigh
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

28.1%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

20.9%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

The chances for Eastleigh have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chorley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eastleigh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chorley - Eastleigh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chorley
English National League
29.02.20	Torquay United - Chorley	2:0 ✺
22.02.20	Chorley - Barnet	0:1 ✺
15.02.20	Ebbsfleet United - Chorley	1:0 ✺
01.02.20	Yeovil Town - Chorley	1:1 ✺
25.01.20	Chorley - Halifax Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLTL
- Eastleigh FC
English National League
22.02.20	Harrogate Town - Eastleigh	3:0 ✺
11.02.20	Eastleigh - Fylde	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.02.20	Harrogate Town - Eastleigh	2:0 ✺
English National League
01.02.20	Eastleigh - Woking	2:0 ✺
28.01.20	Eastleigh - Aldershot Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
12.10.19	Eastleigh - Chorley	0:0

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