Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 19

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Victory Park (Chorley)


	Chorley		Kettering Town

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	6.5
	1.44	3.95	5.5
	1.37	4.5	6.8
	1.37	4.66	7.84
	1.4	4.2	7
	1.36	4.55	7.2
	1.37	4.5	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.51)	4.41 ↑ (4.32)	6.81 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chorley
65.9%

Draw
20.7%

Kettering Town
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

21.2%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

21%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chorley's performance.

Kettering Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kettering Town than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Chorley - Kettering Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 8 and 20).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Chorley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chorley is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chorley won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Chorley won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chorley
English National League North
08.11.22	Chorley - Spennymoor Town	2:0 ✺
05.11.22	Southport - Chorley	2:1 ✺
29.10.22	Chorley - Farsley	4:3 ✺
25.10.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Chorley	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	Peterborough Sports - Chorley	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLT
- Kettering Town
English National League North
08.11.22	Kettering Town - Hereford	2:0 ✺
05.11.22	Brackley Town - Kettering Town	3:0 ✺
01.11.22	Kettering Town - Banbury United	0:0 ✺
29.10.22	Kettering Town - Blyth Spartans	4:2 ✺
25.10.22	Farsley - Kettering Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
26.03.22	Kettering Town - Chorley	2:1
16.11.21	Chorley - Kettering Town	3:1

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