Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 18

Date: 8 November 2022, Tuesday


	Kettering Town		Hereford

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.6	1.63
	4.3	3.35	1.72
	4.3	3.7	1.68
	4.7	3.59	1.7
	4.75	3.5	1.65
	4.55	3.68	1.66
	4.3	3.7	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↑ (3.03)	3.59 ↑ (3.12)	1.67 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kettering Town
20.4%

Draw
25.3%

Hereford
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

28.9%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

28.5%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kettering Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kettering Town's form might have worsened.

Hereford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hereford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kettering Town than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kettering Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hereford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	9.1%	72.7%

Kettering Town - Hereford Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kettering will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Hereford will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hereford: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kettering won 0.

Kettering is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hereford is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kettering could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hereford is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Kettering won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Kettering won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kettering Town
English National League North
05.11.22	Brackley Town - Kettering Town	3:0 ✺
01.11.22	Kettering Town - Banbury United	0:0 ✺
29.10.22	Kettering Town - Blyth Spartans	4:2 ✺
25.10.22	Farsley - Kettering Town	2:0 ✺
22.10.22	Chester - Kettering Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTWLL
- Hereford FC
English FA Cup
04.11.22	Hereford - Portsmouth	1:3 ✺
English National League North
29.10.22	Curzon Ashton - Hereford	1:3 ✺
25.10.22	Hereford - Fylde	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Hereford	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
15.10.22	Bromley - Hereford	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
22.03.22	Kettering Town - Hereford	1:1
30.11.21	Hereford - Kettering Town	3:0
28.11.20	Hereford - Kettering Town	3:3
10.03.20	Kettering Town - Hereford	0:0
28.09.19	Hereford - Kettering Town	1:0
English Southern Premier League
21.04.18	Hereford - Kettering Town	4:1
19.12.17	Kettering Town - Hereford	1:3

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